Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia

CONMEBOL Libertadores· Round of 16
DWWWGoals 19-82nd in league
LLDWGoals 10-91st in league
Home2W 0D 1L(6-4)
Away3W 0D 0L(9-4)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Lineups

FluminenseIndepend. Rivadavia
1.9
Goals/game
1.0
0.8
Conceded/game
0.9

AI match analysis

Fluminense win
56.62%
Draw
27.49%
Independ. Rivadavia win
15.89%
44.7%BTTS
40.4%Over 2.5
40.7%Fluminense clean sheet
24.7%Independ. Rivadavia clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Fluminense's strong home form, including a recent victory against Bahia, positions them favorably in this matchup. In contrast, Independ. Rivadavia has shown resilience away, yet their scoring average is notably lower compared to Fluminense's. The historical performances indicate that Fluminense might secure a narrow victory.

  • Fluminense unbeaten in last 3 home matches
  • Independ. Rivadavia perfect away record this season
  • Fluminense's last 10 matches show higher scoring averages than Independ. Rivadavia's
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
84/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Fluminense

  • Good recent formFluminense

    Fluminense have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Strong home recordFluminense

    Fluminense have won 2 of their last 3 home matches.

    2/3 home wins
  • Strong away recordIndepend. Rivadavia

    Independ. Rivadavia have won 3 of their last 3 away matches.

    3/3 away wins
  • Sharper attackFluminense

    Fluminense are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.9/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Fluminense at 56.62% — final result was a draw, Fluminense 0-0 Independ. Rivadavia.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (84/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Fluminense1.70market 58.7% · model 56.62%
Draw3.39market 29.5% · model 27.49%
Independ. Rivadavia5.52market 18.1% · model 15.89%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Fluminense have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Independ. Rivadavia have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Fluminense wins
1Draws
0Independ. Rivadavia wins
1-1Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Fluminense1.70best 1.75
Draw3.39best 3.50
Independ. Rivadavia5.52best 6.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.40best 2.52
Under 2.51.55best 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes2.24best 2.38
No1.58best 1.67

Double chance

Fluminense/Draw1.14best 1.16
Fluminense/Independ. Rivadavia1.28best 1.32
Draw/Independ. Rivadavia2.12best 2.20

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22best 1.22
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.95best 4.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.84best 1.85
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.84best 1.85

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Fluminense1.70 0.02
Draw3.39 0.25
Independ. Rivadavia5.52 0.74
10 Aug11 Aug

Model vs market

Fluminense win+1.4pp
AI
56.62%
Market
55.2%
Draw-0.3pp
AI
27.49%
Market
27.8%
Independ. Rivadavia win-1.1pp
AI
15.89%
Market
17%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Fluminense
622208WDLL
1
Independ. Rivadavia
6510+916WDWW

Pre-match comparison

1.9Goals scored per game1
0.8Goals conceded per game0.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Fluminense

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
7.1%
46-60'
7.1%
61-75'
7.1%
76-90+'
78.6%

Independ. Rivadavia

0-15'
0%
16-30'
10%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
10%
76-90+'
80%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?+

Our AI model favors Fluminense to win, with a 56.62% probability (Draw 27.49%, Independ. Rivadavia 15.89%).

What time does Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 11, 2026, 10:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).