Forge vs Pacific FC

Canadian Premier League· Group Stage
Forge
20Full-time
Pacific FC
LLWLGoals 15-111st in league
DLDDGoals 10-228th in league
Home7W 1D 1L(13-5)
Away0W 3D 5L(9-19)

Value found

+2.8% edge

Pacific FC win

8.33AI fair odds
8.56Bookmaker odds
+2.8%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 15'J. Quintana
  2. 15'J. Belluz
  3. 15'I. Oketokoun
  4. 46'S. Hundal (R. Kratt)
  5. 50'Y. R. Toualy (J. Heard)
  6. 51'A. Sadek
  7. 53'Y. R. Toualy (J. Heard)
  8. 54'I. Oketokoun (Daniel Nimick)
  9. 57'I. Oketokoun (Daniel Nimick)
  10. 63'M. Vales
  11. 63'B. Paton (K. Bekker)
  12. 64'T. Marshall (C. Greco-Taylor)
  13. 78'A. Sadek (N. Jensen)
  14. 79'M. Piepgrass (L. Browning-Lagerfeldt)
  15. 80'N. Jensen (Tristan Borges)
  16. 80'I. Oketokoun (M. Babouli)
  17. 80'A. Sadek (M. Filion)
  18. 80'H. Massunda (M. Babouli)
  19. 90+1'H. Massunda (Z. Bruno)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
ForgePacific FC
1.5
Goals/game
1.0
1.1
Conceded/game
2.2

AI match analysis

Forge win
72%
Draw
16%
Pacific FC win
12%
54.8%BTTS
55.4%Over 2.5
35%Forge clean sheet
15.7%Pacific FC clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Forge is in solid form, currently sitting at the top of the league with a strong home record and a recent trend of scoring more than they concede. In contrast, Pacific FC is struggling significantly, yet to win away this season and facing a daunting challenge given their poor recent form. Historically, Forge has dominated their matchups against Pacific FC, which adds to the likelihood of a home victory in this encounter.

  • Forge unbeaten in last 5 home games
  • Pacific FC has not won an away match this season
  • Forge has a strong head-to-head record against Pacific FC
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Forge

  • Strong home recordForge

    Forge have won 7 of their last 9 home matches.

    7/9 home wins
  • Weak away recordPacific FC

    Pacific FC have won 0 of their last 8 away matches.

    0/8 away wins
  • Historical edgeForge

    Forge have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    6/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionForge

    Forge sit 7 places above Pacific FC in the table.

    #1 vs #8

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Forge at 72% — final result was Forge win, Forge 2-0 Pacific FC.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Forge1.26market 79.1% · model 72%
Draw5.18market 19.3% · model 16%
Pacific FC8.56market 11.7% · model 12%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Forge have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Pacific FC have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

6Forge wins
1Draws
1Pacific FC wins
13-2Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Forge1.26best 1.31
Draw5.18best 5.60
Pacific FC8.56best 10.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.44best 1.50
Under 2.52.58best 2.65

Both teams to score

Yes1.77best 1.83
No1.91best 1.95

Double chance

Forge/Draw1.05best 1.09
Forge/Pacific FC1.11best 1.15
Draw/Pacific FC3.41best 3.75

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.00best 2.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.73best 1.73
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes8.50best 8.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.05best 1.05

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Forge1.26 0.01
Draw5.18 0.07
Pacific FC8.56 0.40
21 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Forge win+0.1pp
AI
72%
Market
71.9%
Draw-1.5pp
AI
16%
Market
17.5%
Pacific FC win+1.4pp
AI
12%
Market
10.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Forge
191324+1541WWLL
8
Pacific FC
170512-185DDLL

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game1
1.1Goals conceded per game2.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Forge

0-15'
0%
16-30'
75%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
25%

Pacific FC

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
100%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Canadian Premier League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Forge vs Pacific FC?+

Our AI model favors Forge to win, with a 72% probability (Draw 16%, Pacific FC 12%).

What time does Forge vs Pacific FC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).