bet2837
EN

Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar

Eredivisie· Regular Season - 3
Fortuna Sittard
0–2Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
DDDWGoals 10-148th in league
WWWWGoals 24-91st in league
Home1W 0D 1L(3-3)
Away2W 0D 0L(6-1)
Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard · Capacity 12,500 · grass · Referee: S. Gozubuyuk

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 5'O. ter Haar Romeny
  2. 6'Kees Smit
  3. 46'Weslley Patati (Calvin Stengs)
  4. 46'Dave Kwakman (Jizz Hornkamp)
  5. 46'A. Descotte (Ivo Pinto)
  6. 58'Jizz Hornkamp (E. Dijkstra)
  7. 66'Shiloh 't Zand (M. Ihattaren)
  8. 66'Nick de Groot (Jasper Dahlhaus)
  9. 67'S. van Ottele (Y. Oukili)
  10. 70'Kees Smit (Jordy Clasie)
  11. 76'S. Wylin (R. Guth)
  12. 86'E. Dijkstra (S. Maikuma)
  13. 86'Mexx Meerdink (A. Oufkir)
  14. 90+5'Jizz Hornkamp (A. Oufkir)

Lineups

Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar
3-4-2-14-2-3-1
31. Mattijs Branderhorst
28
28. Justin Hubner
6
← 67'
6. S. van Ottele
23
23. Philip Brittijn
← 66'
15. Nick de Groot
20
20. Édouard Michut
← 66'
22. Shiloh 't Zand
2
← 76'
2. S. Wylin
10
10. O. ter Haar Romeny
9
← 46'
9. A. Descotte
25. Lequincio Zeefuik
← 86'
9. Mexx Meerdink
11. Ro-Zangelo Daal
← 70'
10. Kees Smit
7
← 46'
7. Weslley Patati
6. Peer Koopmeiners
← 46'
21. Dave Kwakman
5
5. M. Chávez
4. Lewis Schouten
3. Wouter Goes
22
← 86'
22. E. Dijkstra
28
28. Jari De Busser
D. BuijsCoachLeeroy Echteld
Bench (8)
Bench (12)
Fortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
1.0
Goals/game
2.4
1.4
Conceded/game
0.9

AI match analysis

Fortuna Sittard win
19.25%
Draw
22.32%
AZ Alkmaar win
58.43%
52.2%BTTS
54.2%Over 2.5
15%Fortuna Sittard clean sheet
38.7%AZ Alkmaar clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests that AZ Alkmaar enters this matchup in strong form, having won both of their opening games while scoring an impressive 5 goals combined. Fortuna Sittard's recent results show potential, but their averages of 1 goal scored and 1.4 conceded suggest vulnerabilities. Historically, AZ’s edge in head-to-head matchups further favors them, leading to a predicted scoreline of 2-1 in their favor.

  • AZ Alkmaar has scored an average of 2.4 goals per game in their last 10 matches
  • Fortuna Sittard has a recent home win against Cambuur
  • Historically, AZ Alkmaar has won 3 out of the last 5 encounters against Fortuna Sittard
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
97/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors AZ Alkmaar

  • Sharper attackAZ Alkmaar

    AZ Alkmaar are averaging 2.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.4/game
  • Historical edgeAZ Alkmaar

    AZ Alkmaar have won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    7/8 H2H wins
  • Strong recent formFortuna Sittard

    Fortuna Sittard are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 2 wins.

    2W 3D 0L
  • Strong recent formAZ Alkmaar

    AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.

    4W 1D 0L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked AZ Alkmaar at 58.43% — final result was AZ Alkmaar win, Fortuna Sittard 0-2 AZ Alkmaar.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (97/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

AZ Alkmaar ✓1.63market 61.4% · model 58.43%
Draw4.18market 23.9% · model 22.32%
Fortuna Sittard4.81market 20.8% · model 19.25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Fortuna Sittard have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • AZ Alkmaar have averaged 2.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Fortuna Sittard wins
0Draws
7AZ Alkmaar wins
5-17Goals
AZ Alkmaar
1–0Feb 23, 2025, 3:45 PM
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
1–0Oct 6, 2024, 6:00 PM
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
1–2Feb 17, 2024, 5:45 PM
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
4–0Oct 1, 2023, 2:45 PM
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
0–3Apr 16, 2023, 6:00 PM
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
3–1Jan 22, 2023, 3:45 PM
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
1–2Jan 16, 2022, 3:45 PM
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
2–1Dec 2, 2021, 5:45 PM
Fortuna Sittard

Odds comparison

Match winner

Fortuna Sittard4.81▼best 5.20
Draw4.18▼best 4.50
AZ Alkmaar1.63▲best 1.67

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.46▼best 1.52
Under 2.52.61▲best 2.75

Both teams to score

Yes1.50▼best 1.54
No2.43▲best 2.60

Double chance

Fortuna Sittard/Draw2.23best 2.30
Fortuna Sittard/AZ Alkmaar1.21best 1.23
Draw/AZ Alkmaar1.18▼best 1.20

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.98▲best 3.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.35▼best 1.36
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes8.00▲best 8.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.08▼best 1.08

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Fortuna Sittard4.81▲ 0.06
Draw4.18▼ 0.17
AZ Alkmaar1.63▲ 0.04
19 Aug – 22 Aug

Model vs market

Fortuna Sittard win-0.4pp
AI
19.25%
Market
19.6%
Draw-0.2pp
AI
22.32%
Market
22.5%
AZ Alkmaar win+0.5pp
AI
58.43%
Market
57.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
8
Fortuna Sittard
311104LWD
1
AZ Alkmaar
3300+79WWW

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game2.4
1.4Goals conceded per game0.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

S. Gozubuyuk

3.5Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 4 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Fortuna Sittard

0-15'
40%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
40%

AZ Alkmaar

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
16.7%

More Eredivisie predictions

Eredivisie
Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
11.5060.00%
X4.6420.00%
25.5320.00%
Prediction:Groningen
Eredivisie
Aug 29, 2026, 2:30 PM
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
12.36
X3.70
22.69
Eredivisie
Aug 29, 2026, 4:45 PM
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
11.38
X5.15
26.76
Eredivisie
Aug 29, 2026, 7:00 PM
PEC Zwolle
NEC Nijmegen
14.33
X4.27
21.66

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?+

Our AI model favors AZ Alkmaar to win, with a 58.43% probability (Draw 22.32%, Fortuna Sittard 19.25%).

Where is Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar played?+

The match is played at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard (capacity 12,500).

What time does Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).