Gagra vs Spaeri
Match events
- 25'N. Kentchadze
- 38'T. Askurava
- 40'Augusto
- 49'N. Kentchadze
- 49'N. Kentchadze
- 54'G. Tsetskhladze (L. Kachibaia)
- 60'M. Tsintsadze
- 63'A. Peikrishvili (L. Kekelidze)
- 63'Claudinei (R. Adeyeye)
- 63'I. Skrypnyk (G. Goshteliani)
- 67'B. Jibril (N. Chagunava)
- 75'D. Mujiri (Andriy Andreychuk)
- 75'Andriy Andreychuk (D. Mujiri)
- 78'D. Mujiri
- 79'V. Bliznichenko (G. Khachidze)
- 82'N. Chagunava (S. Gegiadze)
- 87'L. Kokhreidze (R. Injgia)
- 1.8
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 1.7
- Conceded/game
- 2.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests Gagra may have the upper hand in this matchup, being unbeaten in their last three matches, while Spaeri is struggling with a five-match winless streak. Recent head-to-head results indicate Gagra has been able to secure victories against Spaeri, including a recent home win. With Gagra showing a slight edge in home performance compared to Spaeri's away struggles, a narrow victory for the home side appears plausible.
- Gagra unbeaten in last 3 matches
- Spaeri on a 5-match winless streak
- Gagra has a better recent home performance than Spaeri's away record
- Head-to-head history shows Gagra has won 1 of the last 2 matches against Spaeri.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Gagra
- Poor recent formGagra
Gagra have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Poor recent formSpaeri
Spaeri have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Sharper attackGagra
Gagra are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game - Tighter defenseSpaeri
Spaeri are conceding just 2 goals per game over their recent matches.
2/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Gagra at 40% — final result was a draw, Gagra 1-1 Spaeri.
Predicted score was 2-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (72/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Gagra have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Spaeri have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 8 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 10 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 8 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Gagra
Spaeri
More Erovnuli Liga predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Gagra vs Spaeri?+
Our AI model favors Gagra to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 27%, Spaeri 33%).
What time does Gagra vs Spaeri kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).