Geelong Cats vs Richmond Tigers
GMHBA Stadium
Kickoff: Aug 22, 2026, 7:45 PM (stadium time)
Your time: —
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 116-66
Data suggests that Geelong Cats are in strong form, averaging 116.6 points per game over their last 10 matches while Richmond Tigers have been struggling, averaging only 58.5 points per game. The historical head-to-head results favor Geelong, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters against Richmond and particularly dominating in their last match. With Richmond's recent scoring troubles, the numbers strongly favor a Geelong victory.
- Geelong Cats averaging 116.6 points over their last 10 matches
- Richmond Tigers have scored only 58.5 points on average in their last 10 matches
- Geelong Cats have won 4 out of their last 5 encounters against Richmond Tigers
- Richmond Tigers lost their last 5 games, struggling significantly in scoring.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Geelong Cats
- Strong recent formGeelong Cats
Geelong Cats are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.
5W 0D 0L - Poor recent formRichmond Tigers
Richmond Tigers have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Tighter defenseGeelong Cats
Geelong Cats are conceding just 84.8 points per game over their recent matches.
84.8/game conceded - Historical edgeGeelong Cats
Geelong Cats have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
Match trends
- Geelong Cats have averaged 106 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Richmond Tigers have averaged 61.6 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Geelong Cats are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Richmond Tigers.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Ladder
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Fremantle Dockers | 23 | 19 | 0 | 4 | +620 | 76 | WLWW |
| 2 |  Sydney Swans | 23 | 18 | 0 | 5 | +674 | 72 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Brisbane Lions | 23 | 16 | 0 | 7 | +445 | 64 | WWLW |
| 4 |  Hawthorn Hawks | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | +379 | 64 | DLWW |
| 5 |  Geelong Cats | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +430 | 60 | WWWW |
| 6 |  Adelaide Crows | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +320 | 60 | LWWL |
| 7 |  Melbourne Demons | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +202 | 60 | WWWL |
| 8 |  Western Bulldogs | 23 | 13 | 1 | 9 | -91 | 54 | DLLW |
| 9 |  Collingwood Magpies | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | +47 | 52 | DWLW |
| 10 |  Carlton Blues | 23 | 12 | 1 | 10 | +29 | 50 | DWWW |
| 11 |  St Kilda Saints | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | +56 | 40 | WLLW |
| 12 |  Greater Western Sydney Giants | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | -22 | 40 | WLWL |
| 13 |  Gold Coast Suns | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | -117 | 36 | LWLL |
| 14 |  North Melbourne Kangaroos | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | -243 | 36 | LWLL |
| 15 |  Port Adelaide Power | 23 | 7 | 0 | 16 | -245 | 28 | LLLL |
| 16 |  West Coast Eagles | 23 | 4 | 0 | 19 | -718 | 16 | LLLL |
| 17 |  Richmond Tigers | 23 | 3 | 0 | 20 | -890 | 12 | LLWL |
| 18 |  Essendon Bombers | 23 | 2 | 0 | 21 | -876 | 8 | LLLL |
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Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Geelong Cats vs Richmond Tigers?+
Our AI model favors Geelong Cats to win, with a 83% probability (Richmond Tigers 17%).
What time does Geelong Cats vs Richmond Tigers start?+
First bounce is at Aug 22, 2026, 9:45 AM (your local time, based on your device).