Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe — Süper Lig

Süper Lig· Regular Season - 1

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

2–1Full-time

Fenerbahçe

LLWWWDGoals 10-121st in league

WDWDWWGoals 23-138th in league

Home1W 1D 0L(3-2)

Away0W 0D 1L(1-2)

Match events

13'Talisca (Levent Mercan)
37'Franco Tongya (S. Koita)
56'O. Ulgun (A. Dursun)
58'Kerem Aktürkoğlu
61'İsmail Yüksek (N'Golo Kanté)
61'İrfan Can Kahveci (Mason Greenwood)
61'Marco Asensio (Vedat Muriqi)
65'Oğuz Aydın (Kerem Aktürkoğlu)
66'E. Kemaloglu (M. Kyabou)
76'O. Diabate (Oghenekaro Etebo)
80'Mert Müldür (Nélson Semedo)
85'A. Dursun (Firatcan Üzüm)
86'S. Koita (Prince Martor)

Lineups

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Fenerbahçe

4-3-34-2-3-1

Ozcan BizatiCoach

Ismail Kartal

AI match analysis

Gençlerbirliği S.K. win

13.76%

Draw

19.58%

Fenerbahçe win

66.66%

56.5%BTTS

55.4%Over 2.5

17.4%Gençlerbirliği S.K. clean sheet

31.7%Fenerbahçe clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests a favorable outlook for Fenerbahçe as they have demonstrated stronger recent form and a better head-to-head record against Gençlerbirliği. The statistics indicate that Gençlerbirliği may struggle to score, contributing to a predicted victory for Fenerbahçe.

Fenerbahçe has a stronger recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches while Gençlerbirliği has 2 wins and 3 losses.
Historically, Fenerbahçe has won 3 out of the last 5 meetings with Gençlerbirliği.
Gençlerbirliği's last 10 matches show an average of 0.8 goals scored per game, highlighting struggles in attack.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Fenerbahçe

Sharper attackFenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe are averaging 2.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.3/game
Historical edgeFenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins
Good recent formGençlerbirliği S.K.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L
Strong recent formFenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.
3W 2D 0L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Fenerbahçe at 66.66% — final result was Gençlerbirliği S.K. win, Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2-1 Fenerbahçe.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Fenerbahçe1.42market 70.6% · model 66.66%

Draw4.59market 21.8% · model 19.58%

Gençlerbirliği S.K. ✓6.85market 14.6% · model 13.76%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Gençlerbirliği S.K. have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Fenerbahçe have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Gençlerbirliği S.K. wins

2Draws

5Fenerbahçe wins

11-22Goals

Fenerbahçe

3–1Feb 9, 2026, 5:00 PM

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

1–3Aug 31, 2025, 4:00 PM

Fenerbahçe

1–2Mar 14, 2021, 4:00 PM

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

1–5Nov 21, 2020, 1:00 PM

Fenerbahçe

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

1–1Jul 7, 2020, 3:30 PM

Fenerbahçe

5–2Dec 6, 2019, 5:30 PM

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Fenerbahçe

2–2Feb 3, 2018, 4:00 PM

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

1–2Aug 27, 2017, 6:45 PM

Fenerbahçe

Odds comparison

Match winner

Gençlerbirliği S.K.6.85▼best 8.00

Draw4.59▲best 4.90

Fenerbahçe1.42best 1.47

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.69best 1.75

Under 2.52.14▲best 2.20

Both teams to score

Yes1.85▼best 1.91

No1.85▲best 1.90

Double chance

Gençlerbirliği S.K./Draw2.76▼best 2.88

Gençlerbirliği S.K./Fenerbahçe1.17best 1.20

Draw/Fenerbahçe1.09best 1.12

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.68▼best 1.73

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.08best 2.15

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes6.38best 7.00

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.10best 1.10

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Gençlerbirliği S.K.6.85▼ 0.04

Draw4.59▲ 0.15

Fenerbahçe1.42▲ 0.01

12 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

Gençlerbirliği S.K. win+0.2pp

AI

13.76%

Market

13.6%

Draw-0.8pp

AI

19.58%

Market

20.4%

Fenerbahçe win+0.7pp

AI

66.66%

Market

66%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.