Genoa vs Napoli
Match events
- 54'Matteo Politano
- 60'Matteo Politano
- 66'Leo Østigård (Sebastian Otoa)
- 66'Tommaso Baldanzi (Junior Messias)
- 67'Alisson Santos (N. Lang)
- 67'Matteo Politano (A. Vergara)
- 67'A. Zambo Anguissa (Kevin De Bruyne)
- 75'Alexsandro Amorim (D. Sow)
- 75'L. Colombo (F. Meichtry)
- 78'Rasmus Højlund (Lorenzo Lucca)
- 81'R. Marin (Mathias Olivera)
- 83'Kevin De Bruyne (A. Vergara)
- 87'J. Vásquez (A. Zulevic)
- 87'A. Vergara (Kevin De Bruyne)
- 90+4'J. Vásquez (A. Zulevic)
- 90+5'Leo Østigård
- 90+5'S. Sabelli
Lineups
- 0.9
- Goals/game
- 1.9
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 0.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Analysis suggests Napoli holds the upper hand against Genoa, having historically dominated their recent head-to-head encounters. The numbers reveal that Napoli's offensive capabilities are substantially better, averaging 1.9 goals in their previous matches, compared to Genoa’s 0.9. Moreover, Genoa has struggled defensively, making their task more challenging against a strong Napoli side.
- Napoli ranked 2nd in Serie A standings
- Genoa has lost 3 of their last 5 matches
- Napoli averages 1.9 scored and 0.9 conceded over their last 10 matches
- Genoa's last 10 matches show a scoring average of 0.9 goals per game
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Napoli
- Higher league positionNapoli
Napoli sit 14 places above Genoa in the table.
#3 vs #17 - Historical edgeNapoli
Napoli have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Poor recent formGenoa
Genoa have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Good recent formNapoli
Napoli have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Napoli at 47.24% — final result was Napoli win, Genoa 0-2 Napoli.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (81/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Genoa have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Napoli have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
M. Di Bello
Based on 23 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Genoa
Napoli
More Serie A predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Genoa vs Napoli?+
Our AI model favors Napoli to win, with a 47.24% probability (Draw 30.6%, Genoa 22.17%).
What time does Genoa vs Napoli kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 6:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).