GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos · Capacity 12,046 · grass · Referee: A. Rodrigues
Match events
- 20'G. Pinto Martins (Héctor Hernández)
- 35'S. Pérez
- 43'Héctor Hernández
- 60'H. Araujo (Cassiano)
- 60'A. Lausen (D. Prioste)
- 60'Joelson Fernandes (Murilo)
- 69'A. Jatta (Claudio Mendes)
- 69'S. Pérez (Gabi)
- 74'Héctor Hernández (Carlos Eduardo)
- 74'F. Caseres (Ze Carlos)
- 77'Abdu Conté (P. Rosas)
- 77'Rochinha (A. Dafe)
- 79'G. Pinto Martins (A. Moreira)
- 82'M. Elimbi
Lineups
- 1.1
- Goals/game
- 0.7
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.7
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-0
The numbers favor GIL Vicente as they have started the season with a victory at home, while Casa Pia's form has been troubling as they continue to struggle, particularly in defense. Statistically, GIL Vicente's stronger head-to-head record and superior recent performances suggest they are likely to secure a narrow win in this matchup.
- GIL Vicente has won their only home match this season.
- Casa Pia has lost all their matches this season, conceding a total of 8 goals.
- Historically, GIL Vicente has won 3 out of the last 5 encounters against Casa Pia.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors GIL Vicente
- Strong home recordGIL Vicente
GIL Vicente have won 2 of their last 2 home matches.
2/2 home wins - Weak away recordCasa Pia
Casa Pia have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.
0/2 away wins - Higher league positionGIL Vicente
GIL Vicente sit 13 places above Casa Pia in the table.
#5 vs #18 - Poor recent formCasa Pia
Casa Pia have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked GIL Vicente at 55% — final result was GIL Vicente win, GIL Vicente 2-0 Casa Pia.
Predicted score was 1-0.
This was a high confidence pick (89/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- GIL Vicente have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Casa Pia have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  GIL Vicente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 18 |  Casa Pia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 0 | LLL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
GIL Vicente
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FC PortoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia?+
Our AI model favors GIL Vicente to win, with a 55% probability (Draw 27%, Casa Pia 18%).
Where is GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia played?+
The match is played at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos (capacity 12,046).
What time does GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).