Hanshin Tigers vs Yakult Swallows
Value found
+27.5% edgeYakult Swallows win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hanshin Tigers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
 Yakult Swallows | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
The data suggests that while the Hanshin Tigers hold a stronger position in the league and recent head-to-head matchups, the Yakult Swallows are in good form regarding scoring in their last few games. The Tigers' slight home advantage and superior standing contribute to their estimated win probability. The predicted score indicates a close contest, reflecting the Swallows' ability to put runs on the board.
- Hanshin Tigers rank 1 in the Central Division with a 0.557 win pct.
- Yakult Swallows have a weaker season record of 49-56 and rank 3rd in the division.
- Hanshin Tigers have won 6 of the last 8 matchups against Yakult Swallows.
- In their last 10 games, the Tigers have averaged 3.4 runs scored, while the Swallows have averaged 5.1 runs.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Hanshin Tigers
- Sharper attackYakult Swallows
Yakult Swallows are averaging 3.4 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
3.4/game - Good recent formHanshin Tigers
Hanshin Tigers have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formYakult Swallows
Yakult Swallows have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Higher league positionHanshin Tigers
Hanshin Tigers sit 3 places above Yakult Swallows in the table.
#1 vs #4
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Hanshin Tigers at 58% — final result was Hanshin Tigers win, Hanshin Tigers 3-2 Yakult Swallows.
Predicted score was 4-3.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (70/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Hanshin Tigers have averaged 2.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yakult Swallows have averaged 3.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Hanshin Tigers are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Yakult Swallows.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Hanshin Tigers | Yakult Swallows |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 3.35 | 1.29 |
| -3 | 3.04▼ | 1.32▲ |
| -2.5 | 2.48▼ | 1.48▲ |
| -2 | 2.20▼ | 1.60▲ |
| -1.5 | 1.90▼ | 1.84▲ |
| -1 | 1.54▼ | 2.25▲ |
| -0.5 | 1.38 | 2.85 |
| +0.5 | 1.31 | 3.20 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1.24 | 3.51 |
| 4.5 | 1.39 | 2.77 |
| 5 | 1.49▼ | 2.47▲ |
| 5.5 | 1.73▼ | 2.03 |
| 6 | 1.88▲ | 1.82▲ |
| 6.5 | 2.07▲ | 1.68▲ |
| 7 | 2.41▼ | 1.50▲ |
| 7.5 | 2.68▼ | 1.44 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hanshin Tigers | 115 | 65 | 50 | +66 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 117 | 63 | 54 | +30 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 116 | 52 | 64 | +5 | 45 | — |
| 4 | Yakult Swallows | 115 | 51 | 64 | -79 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 119 | 51 | 68 | -6 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 112 | 46 | 66 | -74 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 116 | 72 | 44 | +181 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 119 | 67 | 52 | +37 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 119 | 65 | 54 | +64 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 118 | 56 | 62 | -71 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 113 | 52 | 61 | -71 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 115 | 45 | 70 | -82 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesOrix BuffaloesFukuoka S. HawksSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Hanshin Tigers vs Yakult Swallows?+
Our AI model favors Hanshin Tigers to win, with a 58% probability (Yakult Swallows 42%).
What time does Hanshin Tigers vs Yakult Swallows start?+
First pitch is at Aug 18, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Hanshin Tigers vs Yakult Swallows?+
Hanshin Tigers: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2. Yakult Swallows: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0. Final: 3-2.