Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA

UEFA Champions League· Play-offs
WLWLGoals 18-15
LDWWGoals 19-16
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 7'J. Mickels
  2. 7'V. Simić (T. Puchacz)
  3. 43'J. East
  4. 57'Xander Severina (O. Mbina)
  5. 67'Z. Ahmed (A. C. Ganah)
  6. 71'J. East (M. Abu Rumi)
  7. 75'A. Isayev (C. Nwachukwu)
  8. 76'Miguel Vitor
  9. 77'I. Rotman
  10. 79'I. Zlatanovic (E. Peretz)
  11. 85'A. C. Ganah
  12. 86'I. Zlatanovic (Yonas Malede)
  13. 86'N. Yehoshua (Mohammad Kanaan)
  14. 89'S. Solvet (E. A. Santos Junior)

Lineups

Hapoel Beer ShevaSabah FA
1.8
Goals/game
1.9
1.5
Conceded/game
1.6

AI match analysis

Hapoel Beer Sheva win
40%
Draw
29%
Sabah FA win
31%
66.8%BTTS
66%Over 2.5
18.3%Hapoel Beer Sheva clean sheet
18.3%Sabah FA clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests a competitive match between Hapoel Beer Sheva and Sabah FA, with Hapoel's solid home form potentially giving them an edge. The home team has averaged 1.8 goals scored but has also conceded 1.5, indicating possible vulnerability in their defense. Conversely, Sabah FA has shown scoring ability but has struggled defensively, which could lead to a high-scoring encounter.

  • Hapoel Beer Sheva has averaged 1.8 goals scored in last 10 matches.
  • Sabah FA has conceded an average of 1.6 goals in last 10 matches.
  • Hapoel Beer Sheva won 4 of their last 5 home games against various opponents.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
54/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Hapoel Beer Sheva

  • Good recent formHapoel Beer Sheva

    Hapoel Beer Sheva have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Sharper attackSabah FA

    Sabah FA are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.9/game
  • Tighter defenseHapoel Beer Sheva

    Hapoel Beer Sheva are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Hapoel Beer Sheva at 40% — final result was Hapoel Beer Sheva win, Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Sabah FA.

Predicted score was 2-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (54/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Hapoel Beer Sheva2.37market 42.2% · model 40%
Sabah FA2.96market 33.8% · model 31%
Draw3.25market 30.8% · model 29%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Hapoel Beer Sheva have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Sabah FA have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Hapoel Beer Sheva2.37best 2.48
Draw3.25best 3.38
Sabah FA2.96best 3.08

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.84best 1.90
Under 2.51.95best 2.02

Both teams to score

Yes1.64best 1.67
No2.13best 2.20

Double chance

Hapoel Beer Sheva/Draw1.36best 1.42
Hapoel Beer Sheva/Sabah FA1.31best 1.37
Draw/Sabah FA1.56best 1.60

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.40best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22best 1.22
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.00best 4.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Hapoel Beer Sheva2.37 0.09
Draw3.25 0.08
Sabah FA2.96 0.02
16 Aug19 Aug

Model vs market

Hapoel Beer Sheva win+0.5pp
AI
40%
Market
39.5%
Draw+0.2pp
AI
29%
Market
28.8%
Sabah FA win-0.6pp
AI
31%
Market
31.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.8Goals scored per game1.9
1.5Goals conceded per game1.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

D. Massa

5.52Yellow cards / game
0.28Red cards / game
0.17Penalties scored / game

Based on 29 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Hapoel Beer Sheva

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
50%

Sabah FA

0-15'
12.5%
16-30'
12.5%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
12.5%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
37.5%

More UEFA Champions League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA?+

Our AI model favors Hapoel Beer Sheva to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 29%, Sabah FA 31%).

What time does Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 19, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).