Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta

UEFA Europa Conference League· Playoff round
DLWDGoals 7-14
WWDWGoals 13-9
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 20'Falcao
  2. 60'Giacomo Raspadori (Charles De Ketelaere)
  3. 60'Lazar Samardžić (Mario Pašalić)
  4. 63'Giacomo Raspadori (Charles De Ketelaere)
  5. 63'Lazar Samardžić (Mario Pašalić)
  6. 66'D. Owusu (S. Turiel)
  7. 71'Nikola Krstović (Gianluca Scamacca)
  8. 71'Sead Kolašinac (Lorenzo Bernasconi)
  9. 72'Gianluca Scamacca
  10. 76'O. Altman (M. Buskila)
  11. 77'A. Kraev (E. Y. Kancepolsky)
  12. 81'Falcao (Y. Ferber)
  13. 81'E. Boateng (D. Dappa)
  14. 84'Nicola Zalewski (F. Cassa)
  15. 84'M. Coco
  16. 88'F. Cassa
  17. 89'S. Turiel
  18. 90+3'Chico

Lineups

Hapoel Tel AvivAtalanta
0.7
Goals/game
1.3
1.4
Conceded/game
0.9

AI match analysis

Hapoel Tel Aviv win
15.44%
Draw
20.93%
Atalanta win
63.63%
40.8%BTTS
36.4%Over 2.5
25.9%Hapoel Tel Aviv clean sheet
44.9%Atalanta clean sheet

Predicted score: 0-1

The data suggests Atalanta enters this match with a stronger form, having won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared to Hapoel Tel Aviv's inconsistent results, including two scoreless draws. Historically, the last fixture ended in a stalemate, but Atalanta's overall scoring average and defense indicate they could edge out a win in this encounter.

  • Atalanta unbeaten in last 4 away matches
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv has scored only 0.7 goals per game in last 10 matches
  • Atalanta has a stronger scoring average of 1.3 goals per game in last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
87/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Atalanta

  • Strong recent formAtalanta

    Atalanta are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.

    3W 2D 0L
  • Sharper attackAtalanta

    Atalanta are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game
  • Tighter defenseAtalanta

    Atalanta are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.9/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Atalanta at 63.63% — final result was Atalanta win, Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 Atalanta.

Predicted score was 0-1.

This was a high confidence pick (87/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Atalanta1.45market 68.8% · model 63.63%
Draw4.38market 22.9% · model 20.93%
Hapoel Tel Aviv6.20market 16.1% · model 15.44%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Hapoel Tel Aviv have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Atalanta have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Hapoel Tel Aviv wins
1Draws
0Atalanta wins
0-0Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Hapoel Tel Aviv6.20best 6.60
Draw4.38best 4.75
Atalanta1.45best 1.53

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.66best 1.72
Under 2.52.14best 2.22

Both teams to score

Yes1.79best 1.84
No1.91best 2.00

Double chance

Hapoel Tel Aviv/Draw2.55best 2.65
Hapoel Tel Aviv/Atalanta1.17best 1.22
Draw/Atalanta1.10best 1.15

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.10best 2.10
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.67best 1.67
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.12best 1.12
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes5.50best 5.50

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Hapoel Tel Aviv6.20 0.45
Draw4.38 0.25
Atalanta1.45 0.07
24 Aug27 Aug

Model vs market

Hapoel Tel Aviv win+0.4pp
AI
15.44%
Market
15%
Draw-0.3pp
AI
20.93%
Market
21.2%
Atalanta win-0.2pp
AI
63.63%
Market
63.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

0.7Goals scored per game1.3
1.4Goals conceded per game0.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

J. Pignard

3.67Yellow cards / game
0.2Red cards / game
0.13Penalties scored / game

Based on 15 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Hapoel Tel Aviv

0-15'
0%
16-30'
100%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Atalanta

0-15'
22.2%
16-30'
11.1%
31-45'
22.2%
46-60'
22.2%
61-75'
11.1%
76-90+'
11.1%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?+

Our AI model favors Atalanta to win, with a 63.63% probability (Draw 20.93%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 15.44%).

What time does Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).