Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

UEFA Europa Conference League· Playoff round
DWWWGoals 14-10
LDLWGoals 11-14

Value found

+1.5% edge

Hapoel Tel Aviv win

14.45AI fair odds
14.67Bookmaker odds
+1.5%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 26'Giorgio Scalvini (T. Kristensen)
  2. 32'Andrian Kraev
  3. 48'G. Raspadori
  4. 54'O. Altman
  5. 63'O. Altman (X. Silva)
  6. 63'Owusu Douglas (M. Buskila)
  7. 63'G. Scamacca (N. Krstović)
  8. 76'E. Boateng (D. Dappa)
  9. 78'L. Samardzic (M. Pašalić)
  10. 78'N. Zalewski (Federico Cassa)
  11. 89'Marcus Coco (S. Piven)
  12. 89'R. Alkoukin (A. Lemkin)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
AtalantaHapoel Tel Aviv
1.4
Goals/game
1.1
1.0
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Atalanta win
80.46%
Draw
12.62%
Hapoel Tel Aviv win
6.92%
49%BTTS
44.3%Over 2.5
35%Atalanta clean sheet
24.7%Hapoel Tel Aviv clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Atalanta is in strong form, having secured four wins in their last five matches, including a recent victory against Athletic Club. In contrast, Hapoel Tel Aviv has struggled significantly, losing four of their last five games with a concerning defense allowing an average of 1.4 goals per match. The statistics favor Atalanta to perform well in this matchup.

  • Atalanta has won 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv has lost 4 of their last 5 matches, with significant goals conceded.
  • Atalanta averages 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded over their last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Atalanta

  • Good recent formAtalanta

    Atalanta have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Poor recent formHapoel Tel Aviv

    Hapoel Tel Aviv have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Sharper attackAtalanta

    Atalanta are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game
  • Tighter defenseAtalanta

    Atalanta are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Atalanta at 80.46% — final result was a draw, Atalanta 0-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Atalanta1.16market 86.5% · model 80.46%
Draw7.10market 14.1% · model 12.62%
Hapoel Tel Aviv14.67market 6.8% · model 6.92%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Atalanta have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Atalanta1.16best 1.19
Draw7.10best 8.30
Hapoel Tel Aviv14.67best 18.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.45best 1.50
Under 2.52.60best 2.80

Both teams to score

Yes2.19best 2.25
No1.61best 1.68

Double chance

Atalanta/Draw1.02best 1.04
Atalanta/Hapoel Tel Aviv1.08best 1.10
Draw/Hapoel Tel Aviv4.91best 5.55

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.67best 1.67
Clean Sheet - Home — No2.10best 2.10
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.04best 1.04
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes9.00best 9.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Atalanta1.16 0.03
Draw7.10 0.97
Hapoel Tel Aviv14.67 2.59
17 Aug20 Aug

Model vs market

Atalanta win0pp
AI
80.46%
Market
80.5%
Draw-0.5pp
AI
12.62%
Market
13.1%
Hapoel Tel Aviv win+0.6pp
AI
6.92%
Market
6.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.4Goals scored per game1.1
1Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Atalanta

0-15'
30%
16-30'
10%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
10%
76-90+'
10%

Hapoel Tel Aviv

0-15'
0%
16-30'
100%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?+

Our AI model favors Atalanta to win, with a 80.46% probability (Draw 12.62%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 6.92%).

What time does Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).