Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC

USL Championship· Group Stage
LLDWGoals 20-128th in league
WWLLGoals 8-109th in league
Home2W 5D 1L(8-10)
Away1W 4D 5L(7-14)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 15'T. Presthus
  2. 16'B. Coffey
  3. 30'M. Tunbridge
  4. 34'Alessandro Milesi
  5. 45+2'Jürgen Locadia (M. Tunbridge)
  6. 46'A. Rogers (B. Ndiaye)
  7. 56'A. Obalola (M. Ngalina)
  8. 56'A. Hernandez (S. Anaku)
  9. 56'A. Taofeek (A. Williams)
  10. 67'J. Soñora
  11. 73'E. Samadia (B. Njie)
  12. 74'B. Ndiaye
  13. 75'J. Soñora (Thomas Musto)
  14. 82'M. Tunbridge (C. D. Milanes Navarro)
  15. 82'G. Diaz (Rodrigo Da Costa)
  16. 82'A. Rocha (Rodrigo Da Costa)
  17. 90+4'S. Anaku
  18. 90+4'Rodrigo Da Costa
  19. 90+4'Eloy Room
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Hartford AthleticMiami FC
2.0
Goals/game
0.8
1.2
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Hartford Athletic win
52%
Draw
24%
Miami FC win
24%
49.1%BTTS
45.6%Over 2.5
36.8%Hartford Athletic clean sheet
22.3%Miami FC clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests Hartford Athletic holds a slight advantage, particularly with their strong head-to-head record against Miami FC, having not lost to them in the last four games. Additionally, Hartford's recent home form shows they have been effective on their turf compared to Miami's struggles with just one away win this season. The scoring averages indicate Hartford typically finds the net more frequently, which could play a crucial role in this matchup.

  • Hartford Athletic unbeaten at home against Miami FC in last 4 encounters
  • Miami FC has only 1 away win this season
  • Hartford Athletic's last 5 matches average 2 goals scored per game
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
90/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Hartford Athletic

  • Sharper attackHartford Athletic

    Hartford Athletic are averaging 2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2/game
  • Poor recent formHartford Athletic

    Hartford Athletic have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Poor recent formMiami FC

    Miami FC have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Weak home recordHartford Athletic

    Hartford Athletic have won 2 of their last 8 home matches.

    2/8 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Hartford Athletic at 52% — final result was Hartford Athletic win, Hartford Athletic 2-1 Miami FC.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (90/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Hartford Athletic1.77market 56.5% · model 52%
Draw3.64market 27.5% · model 24%
Miami FC3.89market 25.7% · model 24%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Hartford Athletic have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Miami FC have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Hartford Athletic wins
0Draws
4Miami FC wins
9-11Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Hartford Athletic1.77best 1.83
Draw3.64best 3.90
Miami FC3.89best 4.10

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.74best 1.79
Under 2.52.01best 2.10

Both teams to score

Yes1.67best 1.70
No2.06best 2.10

Double chance

Hartford Athletic/Draw1.20best 1.26
Hartford Athletic/Miami FC1.22best 1.25
Draw/Miami FC1.91best 2.00

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62best 2.62
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44best 1.44
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.00best 5.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.14best 1.14

Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Hartford Athletic1.77 0.02
Draw3.64 0.07
Miami FC3.89 0.06
15 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Hartford Athletic win+0.5pp
AI
52%
Market
51.5%
Draw-1.1pp
AI
24%
Market
25.1%
Miami FC win+0.6pp
AI
24%
Market
23.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
8
Hartford Athletic
19595-324DLDL
9
Miami FC
21579-922LDLL

Pre-match comparison

2Goals scored per game0.8
1.2Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

C. Hernandez

6Yellow cards / game
1Red cards / game
1Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Hartford Athletic

0-15'
0%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
40%
76-90+'
0%

Miami FC

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
100%

More USL Championship predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC?+

Our AI model favors Hartford Athletic to win, with a 52% probability (Draw 24%, Miami FC 24%).

What time does Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).