Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk
GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond · Capacity 4,200 · artificial turf · Referee: T. Hardeman
Match events
- 18'M. Lenaerts (H. Ingason)
- 19'Michel Ludwig
- 0.7
- Goals/game
- 2.0
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The analysis indicates a competitive matchup, with Waalwijk's recent form showcasing four consecutive draws, which implies they are tough to beat. Helmond Sport, on the other hand, has struggled to find consistency, evident in their low scoring average of 0.7 goals per game over their last 10 matches. Historical head-to-head outcomes favor Waalwijk, suggesting they may secure a narrowly favorable result.
- Waalwijk has drawn their last four matches, indicating resilience.
- Helmond Sport has lost their last match and has inconsistent scoring, averaging 0.7 goals per game in the last 10 matches.
- Historically, Waalwijk has had the upper hand in their last five encounters against Helmond Sport, with two wins and three draws.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Waalwijk
- Sharper attackWaalwijk
Waalwijk are averaging 2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2/game - Higher league positionHelmond Sport
Helmond Sport sit 5 places above Waalwijk in the table.
#7 vs #12 - Historical edgeWaalwijk
Waalwijk have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Tighter defenseHelmond Sport
Helmond Sport are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Waalwijk at 49% — final result was a draw, Helmond Sport 1-1 Waalwijk.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (85/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Helmond Sport have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Waalwijk have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Helmond Sport
WaalwijkWaalwijkHelmond SportWaalwijkHelmond SportHelmond SportWaalwijkHelmond SportWaalwijkWaalwijkHelmond SportWaalwijkHelmond SportHelmond SportWaalwijkOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
T. Hardeman
Based on 7 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Helmond Sport
Waalwijk
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VitesseFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk?+
Our AI model favors Waalwijk to win, with a 49% probability (Draw 26%, Helmond Sport 25%).
Where is Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk played?+
The match is played at GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond (capacity 4,200).
What time does Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).