HNK Hajduk Split vs Raków Częstochowa
Match events
- 21'M. Sego (A. Sanyang)
- 27'M. Emreli (E. Otieno)
- 31'E. Otieno
- 33'Šimun Hrgović
- 46'Stratos Svarnas (D. G. Debohi)
- 47'D. de Almeida (M. Soticek)
- 55'Adrion Pajaziti
- 58'E. Otieno (J. C. Silva)
- 58'O. Kwiatkowski (Tomasz Pieńko)
- 61'M. Soticek (A. del Moral)
- 62'D. de Almeida
- 67'F. Tudor (A. Brorsson)
- 68'A. Sanyang (A. Sutalo)
- 68'D. de Almeida (D. Melnjak)
- 74'V. Kochergin (I. Brusberg)
- 76'M. Sego (M. Livaja)
- 77'Šimun Hrgović (Alec Van Hoorenbeeck)
- 79'A. del Moral
- 81'Tomasz Pieńko
- 90+4'R. Pukstas
- 90+5'L. Diaby-Fadiga
- 2.5
- Goals/game
- 1.7
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests a competitive matchup, with HNK Hajduk Split scoring an average of 2 goals per game in their last 10 matches, which may pose a challenge for Raków Częstochowa, who have shown vulnerability in defense. Historically, Hajduk's strong home performance, remaining unbeaten in their last 5 matches at home, adds to their advantage. The average goals scored indicates a 2-1 predicted score in favor of the hosts.
- HNK Hajduk Split scored an average of 2 goals per game in their last 10 matches
- Raków Częstochowa has conceded 1.3 goals per game over their last 10 matches
- HNK Hajduk Split is unbeaten in their last 5 home matches
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors HNK Hajduk Split
- Strong recent formHNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.
4W 1D 0L - Poor recent formRaków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Sharper attackHNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split are averaging 2.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.5/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked HNK Hajduk Split at 47.56% — final result was a draw, HNK Hajduk Split 2-2 Raków Częstochowa.
Predicted score was 2-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (63/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- HNK Hajduk Split have averaged 2.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Raków Częstochowa have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
M. Ocenas
Based on 4 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
HNK Hajduk Split
Raków Częstochowa
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win HNK Hajduk Split vs Raków Częstochowa?+
Our AI model favors HNK Hajduk Split to win, with a 47.56% probability (Draw 28.1%, Raków Częstochowa 24.34%).
What time does HNK Hajduk Split vs Raków Częstochowa kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).