Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Match events
- 21'Guilherme
- 45+1'Héctor Herrera
- 46'Maya Yoshida (Carlos Garcés)
- 53'E. Wynder (Isaiah Parente)
- 56'L. Ennali
- 58'Carlos Garcés
- 65'Duncan McGuire (Ondrej Lingr)
- 65'Kyogo Furuhashi (Troy Elgersma)
- 65'Robert Taylor (Hirving Lozano)
- 65'Franco Negri (D. Holmes)
- 83'Jack McGlynn (Agustín Bouzat)
- 89'Mateusz Bogusz (Ibrahim Aliyu)
- 89'Héctor Herrera (Diadié Samassékou)
- 90+4'Hirving Lozano
- 90+9'Ibrahim Aliyu
- 90'Lucas Sanabria (R. Ramos)
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 1.9
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests Houston Dynamo have a stronger home record and recent form, maintaining an unbeaten streak at home with six wins and a draw out of their nine matches this season. Meanwhile, Los Angeles Galaxy's recent struggles, with just one win in five matches and a negative goal difference, indicate a challenging away contest ahead. Historically, their head-to-head records have been closely contested, adding further intrigue to the upcoming match.
- Houston Dynamo unbeaten in last 5 home games
- Los Angeles Galaxy have only 1 win in last 5 matches
- Historically, teams are evenly matched in recent head-to-heads
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Houston Dynamo
- Higher league positionHouston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo sit 10 places above Los Angeles Galaxy in the table.
#2 vs #12 - Strong home recordHouston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo have won 7 of their last 10 home matches.
7/10 home wins - Weak away recordLos Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy have won 3 of their last 11 away matches.
3/11 away wins - Sharper attackLos Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Houston Dynamo at 58% — final result was Houston Dynamo win, Houston Dynamo 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (96/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Houston Dynamo have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Los Angeles Galaxy have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles GalaxyHouston DynamoHouston DynamoLos Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles GalaxyHouston DynamoLos Angeles GalaxyHouston DynamoHouston DynamoLos Angeles GalaxyHouston DynamoLos Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles GalaxyHouston DynamoOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 38 | WWWW |
| 12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -5 | 26 | WLDD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
R. Fierro
Based on 11 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles Galaxy
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CharlotteFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy?+
Our AI model favors Houston Dynamo to win, with a 58% probability (Draw 23%, Los Angeles Galaxy 19%).
What time does Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).