Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima
Match events
- 58'A. Parra
- 59'D. A. Romero Padilla
- 63'J. Mosquera (K. Florez)
- 63'S. Aguayo (Edwar López)
- 65'H. E. Martinez Yepez
- 67'H. Quintana (R. Briones)
- 70'C. González (D. A. Romero Padilla)
- 74'Junior Sornoza
- 77'H. E. Martinez Yepez (J. Angulo)
- 77'A. Parra (L. Sanchez)
- 77'E. Pata (J. Angulo)
- 80'Sebastian Guzman
- 82'A. Rodriguez (M. Perello)
- 82'Junior Sornoza (Jhegson Méndez)
- 82'C. González (D. Reasco)
- 84'J. Hernandez
- 90+5'M. Perello (R. Briones)
Lineups
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 0.6
- 0.7
- Conceded/game
- 0.7
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-0
The data suggests that Independiente del Valle holds a strong position, having won all three home matches this season, coupled with their recent victories boosting confidence. In contrast, Deportes Tolima has struggled away, failing to secure a win in their previous games. Given these trends, a narrow win for the home side appears likely.
- Independiente del Valle won 3 consecutive home matches this season
- Deportes Tolima has not won any of their last 3 away matches
- Independiente del Valle defeated Deportes Tolima 1-0 in their last encounter
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Independiente del Valle
- Strong recent formIndependiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.
5W 0D 0L - Poor recent formDeportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Strong home recordIndependiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle have won 3 of their last 3 home matches.
3/3 home wins - Weak away recordDeportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima have won 0 of their last 3 away matches.
0/3 away wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Independiente del Valle at 62% — final result was Independiente del Valle win, Independiente del Valle 3-1 Deportes Tolima.
Predicted score was 1-0.
This was a high confidence pick (99/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Independiente del Valle have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Deportes Tolima have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 3 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 1 of the last 3 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 | WLWW |
| 2 |  Deportes Tolima | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 | LWWL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Independiente del Valle
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima?+
Our AI model favors Independiente del Valle to win, with a 62% probability (Draw 23%, Deportes Tolima 15%).
What time does Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).