Inter Miami vs Toronto FC
Match events
- 26'G. Luján (F. Mura)
- 37'Richie Laryea
- 53'M. Falcon
- 58'Sergio Reguilón (N. Allen)
- 59'Josh Sargent (Dániel Sallói)
- 62'D. Etienne
- 65'Dániel Sallói (Matheus Pereira)
- 73'L. Suárez (L. Delinois)
- 73'Casimiro (D. Ayala)
- 74'T. Segovia (D. Pinter)
- 77'Josh Sargent (T. Corbeanu)
- 83'L. Messi (Rodrigo de Paul)
- 86'D. Etienne (J. Gilman)
- 87'D. Mihailovic (N. Gomis)
- 90+5'D. Ayala
- 2.6
- Goals/game
- 1.5
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests Inter Miami is in a favorable position heading into this match against Toronto FC, especially as they rank 2nd in the league with a solid home record. Conversely, Toronto has found difficulty away from home, only securing 1 win this season. Historically, recent encounters also favor Inter Miami, which could contribute to their potential success in this matchup.
- Inter Miami ranked 2nd in the league standings, indicating strong overall performance.
- Toronto FC has struggled with an away record of just 1 win in 9 matches this season.
- Recent head-to-head matches show Inter Miami has a slight upper hand with 3 wins in their last 5 meetings.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Inter Miami
- Historical edgeInter Miami
Inter Miami have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionInter Miami
Inter Miami sit 8 places above Toronto FC in the table.
#2 vs #10 - Poor recent formInter Miami
Inter Miami have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Weak home recordInter Miami
Inter Miami have won 3 of their last 9 home matches.
3/9 home wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Inter Miami at 72% — final result was Toronto FC win, Inter Miami 1-2 Toronto FC.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Inter Miami have averaged 2.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Toronto FC have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Toronto FC
Inter MiamiInter MiamiToronto FCToronto FCInter MiamiInter MiamiToronto FCInter MiamiToronto FCInter MiamiToronto FCToronto FCInter MiamiToronto FCInter MiamiOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter Miami | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | +9 | 39 | DLDW |
| 10 | Toronto FC | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | -6 | 24 | DWDL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
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CharlotteFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?+
Our AI model favors Inter Miami to win, with a 72% probability (Draw 15%, Toronto FC 13%).
What time does Inter Miami vs Toronto FC kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).