Ipswich vs Sunderland
Match events
- 24'Emersonn (Julio Enciso)
- 37'Daniel Ballard
- 39'N. Angulo
- 55'N. Angulo
- 59'N. Angulo (C. Talbi)
- 64'L. O'Nien
- 66'Abdul Fatawu Issahaku (K. McAteer)
- 67'Emersonn (C. Akpom)
- 67'L. O'Nien (Omar Alderete)
- 67'B. Brobbey (Wilson Isidor)
- 71'Julio Enciso (Jack Clarke)
- 81'T. Hume (Chris Rigg)
- 81'E. Le Fee (Habib Diarra)
- 81'Daizen Maeda (A. Ouattara)
- 81'M. Nunez (S. W. Egeli)
- 90'Jack Clarke (Saša Lukić)
- 2.1
- Goals/game
- 1.6
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Recent form favors Ipswich, who have won four of their last five matches, averaging two goals scored per game. Although Sunderland has a solid track record with fewer conceded goals, their last encounters with Ipswich show a slight edge for the home side, winning three out of five. The numbers suggest a competitive match, but Ipswich's home advantage could tip the scales.
- Ipswich won 4 of their last 5 matches
- Ipswich has a strong recent goal average of 2 scored per game
- Sunderland has conceded an average of 1.4 goals in their last 10 matches
- The head-to-head record shows Ipswich has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Sunderland.
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Sunderland
- Higher league positionIpswich
Ipswich sit 5 places above Sunderland in the table.
#8 vs #13 - Strong recent formIpswich
Ipswich are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.
4W 1D 0L - Strong recent formSunderland
Sunderland are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.
4W 1D 0L - Sharper attackIpswich
Ipswich are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.1/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Sunderland at 36% — final result was Ipswich win, Ipswich 2-1 Sunderland.
Predicted score was 2-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Ipswich have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Sunderland have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Ipswich
SunderlandSunderlandIpswichIpswichSunderlandSunderlandIpswichIpswichSunderlandSunderlandIpswichSunderlandIpswichIpswichSunderlandOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ipswich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 13 | Sunderland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
F. Hallam
Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Ipswich
Sunderland
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EvertonFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Ipswich vs Sunderland?+
Our AI model favors Sunderland to win, with a 36% probability (Draw 30%, Ipswich 34%).
What time does Ipswich vs Sunderland kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).