Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo · Capacity 35,657 · grass
Match events
- 43'Park Cheol-Woo
- 45+2'Emerson Ramon
- 54'Shin Sang-Eun (Chang-jun Park)
- 67'Emerson Ramon (Byung-wook Choi)
- 67'Chang-min Lee (Su-bin Park)
- 68'Min-gyu Jang (Kwon Ki-Min)
- 69'Yun-sang Hong (Joo-chan Kim)
- 69'Se-jin Park (Kim Lee-Seok)
- 71'Matheus Aiás
- 78'Matheus Aiás (Kim Shin-jin)
- 81'Jung-taek Lee (Lee Chan-wook)
- 82'Tae-hwan Kim (Si-hoo Hong)
- 85'Tae-jun Park
- 89'Kun-hee Lee (In-kyun Kim)
- 90+7'Kim Lee-Seok
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 1.2
- 0.9
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The data suggests a competitive match, with both teams displaying contrasting recent forms. Jeju United FC has found some rhythm at home, earning 4 wins in their last 5, while Gimcheon Sangmu FC struggles with overall consistency despite having a slightly better away record. Head-to-head statistics favor Gimcheon Sangmu, who have historically performed well against Jeju, indicating a possible draw in this matchup.
- Jeju United FC has won 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC has a weaker away form with only 3 wins in 12 matches this season.
- Historically, Gimcheon Sangmu FC has won 3 out of the last 5 encounters against Jeju United FC.
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- Good recent formJeju United FC
Jeju United FC have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Tighter defenseJeju United FC
Jeju United FC are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game conceded - Historical edgeGimcheon Sangmu FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionJeju United FC
Jeju United FC sit 6 places above Gimcheon Sangmu FC in the table.
#5 vs #11
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Gimcheon Sangmu FC at 36.38% — final result was a draw, Jeju United FC 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Jeju United FC have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Jeju United FCGimcheon Sangmu FCJeju United FCJeju United FCGimcheon Sangmu FCJeju United FCGimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FCJeju United FCJeju United FCGimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FCJeju United FCGimcheon Sangmu FCJeju United FCOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jeju United FC | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | +3 | 35 | WWDW |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 24 | 4 | 14 | 6 | -6 | 26 | DDWW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Jeju United FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
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Who is likely to win Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?+
Our AI model favors Gimcheon Sangmu FC to win, with a 36.38% probability (Draw 29.78%, Jeju United FC 33.84%).
Where is Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC played?+
The match is played at Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo (capacity 35,657).
What time does Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 10:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).