Jong Ajax vs Emmen
Match events
- 1'D. Pugno (P. Nash)
- 3'Freddy Quispel (Yanis Dede-Lhomme)
- 19'E. Unuvar (Dies Janse)
- 22'D. Pugno
- 35'J. Cooper
- 43'A. Appiah
- 45+3'Nelson Amadin (J. Cooper)
- 46'Dies Janse (M. Muzungu)
- 52'Freddy Quispel (Michael Breij)
- 61'J. Cooper (Luca Everink)
- 66'Mark Verkuijl (J. Johnson)
- 66'Mohamed Abdalla (L. Acheampong)
- 67'Michael Breij
- 68'Sybrand Veldhuis (Mustafa Abdullatif)
- 68'Luca Everink (David Voute)
- 70'E. Unuvar (L. Acheampong)
- 74'Nelson Amadin (Alessandro Hojabrpour)
- 78'A. Appiah (J. Simeon)
- 78'S. de Falco (F. Zahouani)
- 83'J. Cooper (Sam Karssies)
- 86'Bryan Van Hove (Vincent Carus)
- 86'J. Cooper (Daan Lambers)
- 90+3'J. Monserrate
Lineups
- 1.2
- Goals/game
- 1.5
- 2.3
- Conceded/game
- 2.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests that Emmen, currently in the top tier of the league, comes into the match with better form compared to Jong Ajax, who have struggled recently. Historically, Emmen has fared well against Jong Ajax in their previous meetings, further bolstering their chances for this match. The numbers also indicate that while both teams average the same goals scored, Jong Ajax's higher goals conceded rate may work against them.
- Emmen in good form with a recent win against De Graafschap
- Jong Ajax lost their last match and has a negative goal difference
- Historically, Emmen has dominated recent encounters against Jong Ajax
- Both teams have averaged 1.5 goals scored, but Jong Ajax concedes more per match.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Emmen
- Historical edgeEmmen
Emmen have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionEmmen
Emmen sit 16 places above Jong Ajax in the table.
#2 vs #18 - Poor recent formJong Ajax
Jong Ajax have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Good recent formEmmen
Emmen have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Emmen at 43% — final result was Emmen win, Jong Ajax 4-6 Emmen.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (74/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Jong Ajax have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Emmen have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Emmen
Jong AjaxJong AjaxEmmenJong AjaxEmmenEmmenJong AjaxEmmenJong AjaxJong AjaxEmmenJong AjaxEmmenEmmenJong AjaxOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
R. Sturm
Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Jong Ajax
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VitesseFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Jong Ajax vs Emmen?+
Our AI model favors Emmen to win, with a 43% probability (Draw 23%, Jong Ajax 34%).
What time does Jong Ajax vs Emmen kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).