Jong AZ vs MVV

Eerste Divisie· Regular Season - 4
WLWLGoals 15-2013th in league
WWWLGoals 8-213rd in league
Home0W 0D 1L(0-1)
Away1W 0D 0L(3-2)
Kicks off in
AFAS Trainingscomplex

AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer · Capacity 3,000 · artificial turf

Kickoff: Aug 28, 2026, 8:00 PM (stadium time)

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time
Lineups not confirmed yet — check back closer to kickoff.
Jong AZMVV
1.5
Goals/game
0.8
2.0
Conceded/game
2.1

AI match analysis

Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed

Jong AZ win
53%
Draw
25%
MVV win
22%
62.9%BTTS
62%Over 2.5
24.7%Jong AZ clean sheet
16.5%MVV clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests Jong AZ has a slight edge given their recent scoring ability compared to MVV's struggles defensively. Jong AZ's head-to-head record also favors them, having won three of the last five matchups. Despite their recent form showing a mix of results, the home advantage could play a vital role.

  • Jong AZ scored an average of 1.5 goals in their last 10 matches while conceding 2 per game
  • MVV has conceded an average of 2.1 goals in their last 10 matches
  • Historically, Jong AZ has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against MVV
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
90/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.

Why AI favors Jong AZ

  • Poor recent formJong AZ

    Jong AZ have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Good recent formMVV

    MVV have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Sharper attackJong AZ

    Jong AZ are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game
  • Higher league positionMVV

    MVV sit 10 places above Jong AZ in the table.

    #3 vs #13

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Lineups not confirmed

    Starting lineups aren't confirmed yet and could materially affect this prediction once they land.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

Match trends

  • Jong AZ have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • MVV have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Jong AZ wins
1Draws
3MVV wins
15-14Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Jong AZ1.77best 1.82
Draw3.98best 4.30
MVV3.83best 4.34

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.37best 1.40
Under 2.52.89best 3.10

Both teams to score

Yes1.39best 1.41
No2.79best 2.90

Double chance

Jong AZ/Draw1.23best 1.26
Jong AZ/MVV1.20best 1.25
Draw/MVV1.98best 2.07

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.75best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes8.00best 8.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.08best 1.08

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Jong AZ1.77 0.03
Draw3.98 0.01
MVV3.83 0.12
25 Aug28 Aug

Model vs market

Jong AZ win+0.5pp
AI
53%
Market
52.5%
Draw+1.7pp
AI
25%
Market
23.3%
MVV win-2.2pp
AI
22%
Market
24.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
13
Jong AZ
310203LWL
3
MVV
3300+39WWW

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game0.8
2Goals conceded per game2.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Jong AZ

0-15'
20%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
40%

MVV

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

More Eerste Divisie predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Jong AZ vs MVV?+

Our AI model favors Jong AZ to win, with a 53% probability (Draw 25%, MVV 22%).

Where is Jong AZ vs MVV played?+

The match is played at AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer (capacity 3,000).

What time does Jong AZ vs MVV kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).