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Jong Utrecht vs Heracles

Eerste Divisie· Regular Season - 3
Jong Utrecht
1–6Full-time
Heracles
WLLLGoals 13-1620th in league
WLLWGoals 13-192nd in league
Home0W 0D 2L(2-9)
Away2W 0D 0L(10-4)
Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch

Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht · Capacity 1,014 · grass · Referee: M. Perez

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 3'T. van Gilst
  2. 7'Sem Scheperman (T. van Gilst)
  3. 37'J. N'djoli
  4. 39'C. Abbas
  5. 39'T. van Gilst (D. van der Kust)
  6. 45'M. Borac (C. Abbas)
  7. 46'J. Sneijder (M. Havelka)
  8. 46'T. van Gilst (Thomas Bruns)
  9. 46'C. Abbas (Thomas Bruns)
  10. 51'Bjorn Menzo
  11. 52'M. Borac (M. Wrusch)
  12. 59'J. N'djoli (Thomas Bruns)
  13. 69'D. Mirani (Mike te Wierik)
  14. 69'Manny (D. Tomic)
  15. 71'L. Rietveld (N. Gyamfi-Amoah)
  16. 72'E. C. Owen (J. Eujen)
  17. 76'J. N'djoli
  18. 82'T. van Gilst (L. Kulenović)
  19. 84'T. den Boggende (J. Hunte)
  20. 90+3'Per Kloosterboer (T. Wellerdieck)

Lineups

Jong Utrecht
Heracles
4-2-3-14-2-3-1
1
1. Mees Eppink
5
5. V. Plantinga
← 90+3'
14. Per Kloosterboer
3
3. Jamie Schuldes
2
2. Massien Ghaddari
6
← 46'
6. J. Sneijder
8
8. D. Laaouina
7
7. Bjorn Menzo
11
← 71'
11. L. Rietveld
9
← 72'
9. E. C. Owen
10
← 84'
10. T. den Boggende
27
27. J. N'djoli
18
18. Max Hauswirth
17
← 82'
17. T. van Gilst
7
← 46'
7. C. Abbas
5
5. D. van der Kust
32. Sem Scheperman
25
← 69'
25. Manny
3
← 52'
3. M. Borac
4
← 69'
4. D. Mirani
15
15. David Vicente
1
1. F. de Keijzer
Mark OttenCoachVincent Heilmann
Bench (8)
Bench (12)
Jong UtrechtHeracles
1.3
Goals/game
1.3
1.6
Conceded/game
1.9

AI match analysis

Jong Utrecht win
18.75%
Draw
20.68%
Heracles win
60.57%
61.1%BTTS
58.8%Over 2.5
23.5%Jong Utrecht clean sheet
20.2%Heracles clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests that Heracles has a strong historical advantage over Jong Utrecht, having won both of their most recent encounters. Jong Utrecht's recent form is not favorable, showing a negative trend with three losses in their last five matches. Meanwhile, Heracles has a similar scoring average but has been more volatile defensively. Given the circumstances, the numbers favor an away victory.

  • Heracles won both recent encounters against Jong Utrecht
  • Jong Utrecht has a negative recent form with 3 losses in last 5 matches
  • Heracles averages 1.3 goals scored per game but has conceded 1.9
  • Home advantage may favor Jong Utrecht but they have yet to play a match this season.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Heracles

  • Historical edgeHeracles

    Heracles have won 2 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.

    2/2 H2H wins
  • Tighter defenseJong Utrecht

    Jong Utrecht are conceding just 1.6 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.6/game conceded
  • Higher league positionHeracles

    Heracles sit 18 places above Jong Utrecht in the table.

    #2 vs #20
  • Poor recent formJong Utrecht

    Jong Utrecht have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Heracles at 60.57% — final result was Heracles win, Jong Utrecht 1-6 Heracles.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Heracles ✓1.56market 64% · model 60.57%
Draw4.28market 23.4% · model 20.68%
Jong Utrecht4.97market 20.1% · model 18.75%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Jong Utrecht have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Heracles have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Jong Utrecht wins
0Draws
2Heracles wins
1-9Goals
Heracles
6–1Feb 3, 2023, 7:00 PM
Jong Utrecht
Jong Utrecht
0–3Aug 15, 2022, 6:00 PM
Heracles

Odds comparison

Match winner

Jong Utrecht4.97▲best 5.50
Draw4.28▲best 4.57
Heracles1.56▼best 1.61

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.49▲best 1.53
Under 2.52.47▼best 2.63

Both teams to score

Yes1.54▲best 1.57
No2.30▼best 2.40

Double chance

Jong Utrecht/Draw2.30▲best 2.47
Jong Utrecht/Heracles1.19best 1.22
Draw/Heracles1.16▼best 1.18

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.75▼best 2.75
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.40▲best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.10▲best 1.10
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes7.00▼best 7.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Jong Utrecht4.97▼ 0.03
Draw4.28▼ 0.12
Heracles1.56▲ 0.01
21 Aug – 24 Aug

Model vs market

Jong Utrecht win+0.1pp
AI
18.75%
Market
18.7%
Draw-1pp
AI
20.68%
Market
21.7%
Heracles win+1.1pp
AI
60.57%
Market
59.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
20
Jong Utrecht
4004-90LLLL
2
Heracles
3300+79WWW

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.3
1.6Goals conceded per game1.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

M. Perez

3.1Yellow cards / game
0.1Red cards / game
0.2Penalties scored / game

Based on 10 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Jong Utrecht

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Heracles

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
33.3%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Jong Utrecht vs Heracles?+

Our AI model favors Heracles to win, with a 60.57% probability (Draw 20.68%, Jong Utrecht 18.75%).

Where is Jong Utrecht vs Heracles played?+

The match is played at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht (capacity 1,014).

What time does Jong Utrecht vs Heracles kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 24, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).