Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse

Eerste Divisie· Regular Season - 2
Jong Utrecht
13Full-time
Vitesse
WLLLGoals 13-1920th in league
DLLWGoals 21-135th in league
Away2W 0D 0L(7-2)
Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch

Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht · Capacity 1,014 · grass · Referee: T. Hardeman

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 26'R. Schwarz
  2. 30'N. Bannis (F. de Carvalho)
  3. 45'E. C. Owen (T. den Boggende)
  4. 52'A. Sellouf (Nathan Markelo)
  5. 58'Chiel Olde Keizer
  6. 63'L. Rietveld (N. Gyamfi-Amoah)
  7. 63'E. Probst (P. Dahbo)
  8. 64'F. de Carvalho (N. Zonneveld)
  9. 73'N. Bannis (Marco Schikora)
  10. 74'Noa Dundas
  11. 79'A. Sellouf (Alexander Büttner)
  12. 79'Marco Schikora (Alexander Büttner)
  13. 79'Chiel Olde Keizer (Xiamaro Thenu)
  14. 87'N. Bannis (J. Pinto)
  15. 89'Alexander Büttner (Alexander Büttner)

Lineups

Jong UtrechtVitesse
1.3
Goals/game
2.1
1.9
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Jong Utrecht win
27.97%
Draw
25.63%
Vitesse win
46.39%
62.9%BTTS
64.1%Over 2.5
13.5%Jong Utrecht clean sheet
27.3%Vitesse clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The numbers favor Vitesse, who have had a strong recent head-to-head record against Jong Utrecht, winning all of the last four meetings. Jong Utrecht's performance has been inconsistent, notably struggling in goal scoring, which may hinder their chances against a relatively stronger Vitesse side that has proven capable of scoring more frequently.

  • Vitesse won the last 4 encounters against Jong Utrecht.
  • Jong Utrecht's recent form includes 1 loss in 5 matches against various teams.
  • Vitesse has a stronger recent scoring average of 2.3 goals per game compared to Jong Utrecht's 1.2.
  • Vitesse is ranked higher in the league standings, currently at 14th.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
82/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Vitesse

  • Historical edgeVitesse

    Vitesse have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

    4/4 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackVitesse

    Vitesse are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.1/game
  • Higher league positionVitesse

    Vitesse sit 15 places above Jong Utrecht in the table.

    #5 vs #20
  • Poor recent formJong Utrecht

    Jong Utrecht have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Vitesse at 46.39% — final result was Vitesse win, Jong Utrecht 1-3 Vitesse.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (82/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Vitesse2.03market 49.2% · model 46.39%
Jong Utrecht3.29market 30.4% · model 27.97%
Draw3.56market 28.1% · model 25.63%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Jong Utrecht have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Vitesse have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0Jong Utrecht wins
0Draws
4Vitesse wins
1-9Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Jong Utrecht3.29best 3.41
Draw3.56best 3.70
Vitesse2.03best 2.08

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.63best 1.70
Under 2.52.15best 2.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.53best 1.57
No2.33best 2.55

Double chance

Jong Utrecht/Draw1.74best 1.80
Jong Utrecht/Vitesse1.25best 1.29
Draw/Vitesse1.30best 1.34

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.50best 4.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.18best 1.18
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.40best 3.40

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Jong Utrecht3.29 0.09
Draw3.56 0.14
Vitesse2.03 0.08
15 Aug17 Aug

Model vs market

Jong Utrecht win-0.2pp
AI
27.97%
Market
28.2%
Draw-0.5pp
AI
25.63%
Market
26.1%
Vitesse win+0.7pp
AI
46.39%
Market
45.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
20
Jong Utrecht
000000
5
Vitesse
4211+27WLWD

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game2.1
1.9Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

T. Hardeman

3.5Yellow cards / game
0.13Red cards / game
0.38Penalties scored / game

Based on 8 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Jong Utrecht

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Vitesse

0-15'
0%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
0%

More Eerste Divisie predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse?+

Our AI model favors Vitesse to win, with a 46.39% probability (Draw 25.63%, Jong Utrecht 27.97%).

Where is Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse played?+

The match is played at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht (capacity 1,014).

What time does Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).