Juventude vs Fortaleza EC

Serie B· Regular Season - 22
Juventude
00Full-time
Fortaleza EC
DWWWGoals 15-121st in league
LDDWGoals 18-145th in league
Home9W 3D 1L(17-2)
Away3W 5D 5L(8-12)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 29'Lucas Mineiro
  2. 59'Lucas Mineiro (Luan Martins)
  3. 59'L. Amarilla (Alan Kardec)
  4. 62'Titi
  5. 64'Nathan Fogaça (Paulo Baya)
  6. 68'MP (Gabriel Pires)
  7. 69'Marcos Paulo
  8. 73'Aderlan (Rai Ramos)
  9. 73'Alisson Safira (Lucas Alves)
  10. 77'Pierre
  11. 82'Welliton (Lucas Crispim)
  12. 82'Pierre (Vitinho)
  13. 90+2'Mauricio Junior (Neris)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
JuventudeFortaleza EC
1.5
Goals/game
1.8
1.2
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Juventude win
42%
Draw
32%
Fortaleza EC win
26%
59.5%BTTS
56.6%Over 2.5
22.3%Juventude clean sheet
23.5%Fortaleza EC clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a relatively balanced matchup, with Juventude showing solid form at home despite some recent inconsistencies. Historically, Fortaleza has had the upper hand in their head-to-head meetings, which adds an element of uncertainty. However, Juventude's strong home record this season could lead to a closely contested draw.

  • Juventude ranked 2nd in the league with a strong home record of 8 wins from 11 matches this season.
  • Fortaleza EC has struggled away, recording only 2 wins in 11 matches.
  • Head-to-head history shows Fortaleza EC has won the last three encounters against Juventude.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
75/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Juventude

  • Strong home recordJuventude

    Juventude have won 9 of their last 13 home matches.

    9/13 home wins
  • Weak away recordFortaleza EC

    Fortaleza EC have won 3 of their last 13 away matches.

    3/13 away wins
  • Historical edgeFortaleza EC

    Fortaleza EC have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Good recent formJuventude

    Juventude have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Juventude at 42% — final result was a draw, Juventude 0-0 Fortaleza EC.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (75/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Juventude2.23market 44.9% · model 42%
Draw2.94market 34.1% · model 32%
Fortaleza EC3.47market 28.8% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Juventude have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Fortaleza EC have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

0Juventude wins
3Draws
5Fortaleza EC wins
5-18Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Juventude2.23best 2.31
Draw2.94best 3.05
Fortaleza EC3.47best 3.73

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.59best 2.80
Under 2.51.45best 1.49

Both teams to score

Yes2.11best 2.20
No1.65best 1.70

Double chance

Juventude/Draw1.27best 1.32
Juventude/Fortaleza EC1.35best 1.40
Draw/Fortaleza EC1.63best 1.67

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.62best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.20best 2.20
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.36best 1.36
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.00best 3.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Juventude2.23
Draw2.94 0.01
Fortaleza EC3.47 0.02
15 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Juventude win+0.4pp
AI
42%
Market
41.6%
Draw+0.4pp
AI
32%
Market
31.6%
Fortaleza EC win-0.7pp
AI
26%
Market
26.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Juventude
241365+1345WDWW
5
Fortaleza EC
241176+640DDDW

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game1.8
1.2Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

S. Sampaio

3Yellow cards / game
1Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Juventude

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
50%

Fortaleza EC

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

More Serie B predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Juventude vs Fortaleza EC?+

Our AI model favors Juventude to win, with a 42% probability (Draw 32%, Fortaleza EC 26%).

What time does Juventude vs Fortaleza EC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 9:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).