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Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka

J1 League· Regular Season - 3
Kashima
3–2Full-time
Avispa Fukuoka
LWWWGoals 16-103rd in league
WLWWGoals 12-1012th in league
Home2W 0D 0L(5-3)
Away0W 0D 1L(2-3)
Kashima Soccer Stadium

Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima · Capacity 40,728 · grass

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 31'Tatsuki Nara
  2. 39'Tatsuki Nara
  3. 43'S. Morooka
  4. 58'M. Yoshida (A. Čavrić)
  5. 58'Matheus Bueno (K. Misao)
  6. 60'Leo Ceara (Yuta Matsumura)
  7. 64'A. Čavrić (Yuma Suzuki)
  8. 65'Y. Hashimoto (D. Fukazawa)
  9. 65'K. Fujimoto (Yota Maejima)
  10. 65'M. Shigemi (Shintaro Nago)
  11. 66'Y. Hashimoto (Shintaro Nago)
  12. 66'M. Shigemi (D. Fukazawa)
  13. 67'Ikuma Sekigawa
  14. 68'Yuta Matsumura (H. Hayashu)
  15. 70'Werik Popo (S. Usui)
  16. 76'Leo Ceara
  17. 78'K. Maeda (Keiya Shiihashi)
  18. 82'T. Oka
  19. 85'Gaku Shibasaki (K. Tsukui)
  20. 85'R. Hirose (Ryuta Koike)

Lineups

Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
4-4-23-4-2-1
1
1. Tomoki Hayakawa
7. Ryoya Ogawa
5. Ikuma Sekigawa
55
55. N. Ueda
37
← 85'
37. R. Hirose
40. Yuma Suzuki
← 85'
10. Gaku Shibasaki
8
← 58'
8. Matheus Bueno
← 68'
27. Yuta Matsumura
9. Leo Ceara
30
← 58'
30. M. Yoshida
9
← 70'
9. Werik Popo
6
← 66'
6. M. Shigemi
13
13. S. Morooka
22
← 65'
22. K. Fujimoto
11
11. Tomoya Miki
55
← 78'
55. K. Maeda
47
← 66'
47. Y. Hashimoto
15
15. Yuma Tsujioka
3. Tatsuki Nara
16
16. T. Oka
1. Takumi Nagaishi
T. OnikiCoachShinya Tsukahara
Bench (9)
Bench (9)
KashimaAvispa Fukuoka
1.6
Goals/game
1.2
1.0
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Kashima win
54%
Draw
28%
Avispa Fukuoka win
18%
48.5%BTTS
43%Over 2.5
33.3%Kashima clean sheet
27.3%Avispa Fukuoka clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

The data suggests that Kashima is in strong form at home, having won both of their matches this season while maintaining a solid defense. Avispa Fukuoka's lack of away play could disadvantage them, especially given their recent mixed results. Historically, Kashima has edged past Avispa in recent encounters, adding to their favorable outlook for this match.

  • Kashima has won both home matches this season without conceding a goal.
  • Avispa Fukuoka has not played any away matches this season.
  • Kashima holds a slight historical edge in their recent head-to-heads, winning 2 of the last 5 encounters.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
88/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Kashima

  • Good recent formKashima

    Kashima have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Good recent formAvispa Fukuoka

    Avispa Fukuoka have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Higher league positionKashima

    Kashima sit 9 places above Avispa Fukuoka in the table.

    #3 vs #12
  • Sharper attackKashima

    Kashima are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.6/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Kashima at 54% — final result was Kashima win, Kashima 3-2 Avispa Fukuoka.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (88/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Kashima ✓1.76market 56.9% · model 54%
Draw3.37market 29.7% · model 28%
Avispa Fukuoka4.97market 20.1% · model 18%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Kashima have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Avispa Fukuoka have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Kashima wins
4Draws
1Avispa Fukuoka wins
5-2Goals
Kashima
1–1Aug 16, 2025, 9:00 AM
Avispa Fukuoka
Avispa Fukuoka
0–1May 6, 2025, 5:00 AM
Kashima
Kashima
0–0Oct 19, 2024, 5:00 AM
Avispa Fukuoka
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0Apr 3, 2024, 10:00 AM
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
0–0Sep 30, 2023, 6:00 AM
Kashima
Kashima
0–0Mar 12, 2023, 6:00 AM
Avispa Fukuoka
Kashima
2–0Aug 14, 2022, 9:00 AM
Avispa Fukuoka
Avispa Fukuoka
0–1Apr 6, 2022, 10:00 AM
Kashima

Odds comparison

Match winner

Kashima1.76▲best 1.82
Draw3.37▼best 3.59
Avispa Fukuoka4.97▼best 5.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.32▼best 2.45
Under 2.51.58▲best 1.65

Both teams to score

Yes2.11▼best 2.20
No1.65▲best 1.67

Double chance

Kashima/Draw1.16▲best 1.19
Kashima/Avispa Fukuoka1.29▲best 1.33
Draw/Avispa Fukuoka2.00▼best 2.10

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.73best 1.73
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.00best 4.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22best 1.22
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.00best 2.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Kashima1.76▲ 0.03
Draw3.37▲ 0.04
Avispa Fukuoka4.97▼ 0.01
19 Aug – 22 Aug

Model vs market

Kashima win+0.7pp
AI
54%
Market
53.3%
Draw+0.2pp
AI
28%
Market
27.8%
Avispa Fukuoka win-0.9pp
AI
18%
Market
18.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
3
Kashima
3300+39WWW
12
Avispa Fukuoka
3102+13LWL

Pre-match comparison

1.6Goals scored per game1.2
1Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Kashima

0-15'
0%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
16.7%
76-90+'
50%

Avispa Fukuoka

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
66.7%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka?+

Our AI model favors Kashima to win, with a 54% probability (Draw 28%, Avispa Fukuoka 18%).

Where is Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka played?+

The match is played at Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima (capacity 40,728).

What time does Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).