Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki
Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa · Capacity 15,900 · grass
Value found
+0.7% edgeV-varen Nagasaki win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 6'Yuki Kakita (Yoshio Koizumi)
- 6'Takuma Ominami
Lineups
- 1.9
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Kashiwa Reysol is in strong form, highlighted by their recent victories and solid home record. In contrast, V-varen Nagasaki has struggled away from home, which may impact their performance in this matchup. Given the historical head-to-head results, the numbers indicate a favorable outcome for Kashiwa Reysol.
- Kashiwa Reysol ranked 3rd with 6 points from 2 matches played.
- Kashiwa Reysol unbeaten in last 5 matches, winning 4 of them.
- V-varen Nagasaki has 1 loss in their only away game this season.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Kashiwa Reysol
- Strong home recordKashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol have won 2 of their last 2 home matches.
2/2 home wins - Weak away recordV-varen Nagasaki
V-varen Nagasaki have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.
0/2 away wins - Higher league positionKashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol sit 14 places above V-varen Nagasaki in the table.
#2 vs #16 - Good recent formKashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Kashiwa Reysol at 62% — final result was Kashiwa Reysol win, Kashiwa Reysol 4-2 V-varen Nagasaki.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Kashiwa Reysol have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- V-varen Nagasaki have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 16 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | LLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Kashiwa Reysol
V-varen Nagasaki
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FC TokyoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki?+
Our AI model favors Kashiwa Reysol to win, with a 62% probability (Draw 22%, V-varen Nagasaki 16%).
Where is Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki played?+
The match is played at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa (capacity 15,900).
What time does Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).