Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş

UEFA Europa League· Play-offs
WLDLGoals 12-12
WWWLGoals 15-9
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 28'A. Kalik
  2. 46'G. Debeljuh (Renan Oliveira)
  3. 56'Ivan Fiolić (F. Baldassarra)
  4. 56'Leo Ribeiro (L. Krekovic)
  5. 64'Renan Oliveira (D. Mikelionis)
  6. 66'D. Vlahovic (Hyun-gyu Oh)
  7. 66'Václav Černý (Milot Rashica)
  8. 66'J. Olaitan (Semih Kılıçsoy)
  9. 69'A. Kalik (A. Benchaib)
  10. 81'Y. Karashima (V. Slivka)
  11. 85'K. Kayra Yilmaz
  12. 86'Ilhan Fakili (A. Hadziahmetovic)
  13. 86'K. Kayra Yilmaz (A. S. Bircan)

Lineups

Kauno ŽalgirisBeşiktaş
1.2
Goals/game
1.5
1.2
Conceded/game
0.9

AI match analysis

Kauno Žalgiris win
11.69%
Draw
18.71%
Beşiktaş win
69.6%
48.2%BTTS
43%Over 2.5
25.9%Kauno Žalgiris clean sheet
35%Beşiktaş clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Beşiktaş enters this match with a strong upper hand based on recent form and the outcome of their last confrontation, where they triumphed 3-0. While Kauno Žalgiris struggles with inconsistency, drawing only once in their last five matches, Beşiktaş averages a solid 1.5 goals scored per game, which bolsters their away win probability in this matchup.

  • Beşiktaş won the recent encounter 3-0 against Kauno Žalgiris
  • Kauno Žalgiris has not won any of their last 5 matches
  • Beşiktaş averages 1.5 goals scored per match in their last 10 games
  • Kauno Žalgiris has a goal difference of 0 across their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
87/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Beşiktaş

  • Historical edgeBeşiktaş

    Beşiktaş have won 1 of the last 1 meetings between these two teams.

    1/1 H2H wins
  • Good recent formBeşiktaş

    Beşiktaş have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Sharper attackBeşiktaş

    Beşiktaş are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game
  • Tighter defenseBeşiktaş

    Beşiktaş are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.9/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Beşiktaş at 69.6% — final result was Kauno Žalgiris win, Kauno Žalgiris 1-0 Beşiktaş.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (87/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Beşiktaş1.36market 73.7% · model 69.6%
Draw4.78market 20.9% · model 18.71%
Kauno Žalgiris8.26market 12.1% · model 11.69%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Kauno Žalgiris have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Beşiktaş have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Kauno Žalgiris wins
0Draws
1Beşiktaş wins
0-3Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Kauno Žalgiris8.26best 9.70
Draw4.78best 5.30
Beşiktaş1.36best 1.44

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.74best 1.81
Under 2.52.06best 2.14

Both teams to score

Yes2.04best 2.20
No1.69best 1.75

Double chance

Kauno Žalgiris/Draw3.03best 3.36
Kauno Žalgiris/Beşiktaş1.15best 1.19
Draw/Beşiktaş1.07best 1.10

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.11best 1.11
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes6.00best 6.00
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes1.83best 1.83
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.83best 1.83

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Kauno Žalgiris8.26 1.10
Draw4.78 0.05
Beşiktaş1.36 0.04
24 Aug27 Aug

Model vs market

Kauno Žalgiris win+0.4pp
AI
11.69%
Market
11.3%
Draw-0.9pp
AI
18.71%
Market
19.6%
Beşiktaş win+0.5pp
AI
69.6%
Market
69.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1.5
1.2Goals conceded per game0.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Kauno Žalgiris

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Beşiktaş

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
16.7%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş?+

Our AI model favors Beşiktaş to win, with a 69.6% probability (Draw 18.71%, Kauno Žalgiris 11.69%).

What time does Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).