Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris

UEFA Europa League· Play-offs
DWWLGoals 12-10
DWLDGoals 13-10

Value found

+32.6% edge

Kauno Žalgiris win

20AI fair odds
26.53Bookmaker odds
+32.6%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 6'Hyeon-gyu Oh (R. Yılmaz)
  2. 12'Amir Murillo (R. Yılmaz)
  3. 46'Joris Moutachy (Lirim Kastrati)
  4. 46'G. Debeljuh (M. Burba)
  5. 46'Vaclav Cerny (I. Fakili)
  6. 58'Orkun Kökçü
  7. 60'Hyeon-gyu Oh (Dušan Vlahović)
  8. 60'Junior Olaitan (Amir Hadžiahmetović)
  9. 63'L. Kreković (Fabien Ourega)
  10. 63'A. Kalik (Renan Oliveira)
  11. 66'F. Baldassarra
  12. 67'Renan Oliveira
  13. 71'A. Tolordava
  14. 72'L. Trossard (Milot Rashica)
  15. 76'Amir Murillo
  16. 80'A. Benchaib (Ivan Fiolić)
  17. 81'Ivan Fiolić
  18. 82'R. Yılmaz (K. Ouattara)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
BeşiktaşKauno Žalgiris
1.2
Goals/game
1.3
1.0
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Beşiktaş win
85%
Draw
10%
Kauno Žalgiris win
5%
45.6%BTTS
39.1%Over 2.5
31.7%Beşiktaş clean sheet
33.3%Kauno Žalgiris clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-0

Data suggests Beşiktaş is in strong form at home, remaining unbeaten in the last five matches. Kauno Žalgiris struggles away, with only one win in their last five fixtures, contributing to a challenging matchup. The averages indicate Beşiktaş scores slightly more often at home, which may give them an edge in this encounter.

  • Beşiktaş unbeaten in last 5 home matches
  • Kauno Žalgiris has only 1 win in last 5 matches
  • Beşiktaş averages 1.4 goals scored at home
  • Kauno Žalgiris averages 1.3 goals scored away
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
79/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Beşiktaş

  • Sharper attackBeşiktaş

    Beşiktaş are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.2/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Beşiktaş at 85% — final result was Beşiktaş win, Beşiktaş 3-0 Kauno Žalgiris.

Predicted score was 2-0.

This was a high confidence pick (79/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Beşiktaş1.08market 92.7% · model 85%
Draw10.14market 9.9% · model 10%
Kauno Žalgiris26.53market 3.8% · model 5%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Beşiktaş have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Kauno Žalgiris have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Beşiktaş1.08best 1.11
Draw10.14best 15.50
Kauno Žalgiris26.53best 46.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.40best 1.44
Under 2.52.75best 2.99

Both teams to score

Yes2.77best 3.10
No1.39best 1.50

Double chance

Beşiktaş/Draw1.01best 1.03
Beşiktaş/Kauno Žalgiris1.05best 1.08
Draw/Kauno Žalgiris7.10best 10.50

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No2.50best 2.50
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.50best 1.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.03best 1.03
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes10.00best 10.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Beşiktaş1.08 0.05
Draw10.14 2.74
Kauno Žalgiris26.53 10.42
17 Aug20 Aug

Model vs market

Beşiktaş win-2.2pp
AI
85%
Market
87.2%
Draw+0.7pp
AI
10%
Market
9.3%
Kauno Žalgiris win+1.5pp
AI
5%
Market
3.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1.3
1Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Beşiktaş

0-15'
0%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Kauno Žalgiris

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More UEFA Europa League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris?+

Our AI model favors Beşiktaş to win, with a 85% probability (Draw 10%, Kauno Žalgiris 5%).

What time does Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).