Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto Sanga

J1 League· Regular Season - 2
LDDWGoals 11-1114th in league
WLLWGoals 8-2018th in league
Home0W 1D 0L(2-2)
Away0W 1D 1L(3-4)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 9'Alex Negueba
  2. 11'Alex Negueba (R. Kato)
  3. 43'L. Romanić
  4. 46'Shimpei Fukuoka (Sung-jun Yoon)
  5. 46'K. Sato (M. Okugawa)
  6. 49'Weverton
  7. 54'Shinnosuke Fukuda (M. Okugawa)
  8. 58'Rafael Elias (Shinnosuke Fukuda)
  9. 59'Sota Miura (Asahi Sasaki)
  10. 64'Marcinho (Tatsuya Ito)
  11. 70'T. Hirato (F. Honda)
  12. 76'Yuki Yamamoto (So Kawahara)
  13. 76'Tatsuya Ito (Y. Ozeki)
  14. 80'Reon Yamahara (Filip Uremović)
  15. 80'Marcinho (Ten Miyagi)
  16. 80'Y. Ozeki
  17. 90+2'Weverton (Hisashi Appiah Tawiah)

Lineups

Kawasaki FrontaleKyoto Sanga
1.1
Goals/game
0.8
1.1
Conceded/game
2.0

AI match analysis

Kawasaki Frontale win
41.68%
Draw
27.75%
Kyoto Sanga win
30.57%
48.3%BTTS
45.6%Over 2.5
38.7%Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet
21.2%Kyoto Sanga clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a competitive match between Kawasaki Frontale and Kyoto Sanga, with both teams struggling for form. Recent statistics indicate that Kawasaki has a slight edge in average goals scored, but has had difficulty converting that into wins. Meanwhile, Kyoto's poor defensive record may lead to another low-scoring contest. Historical encounters suggest that a draw could be a likely outcome given their recent head-to-head results.

  • Kyoto Sanga has lost 4 of their last 5 matches overall
  • Kawasaki Frontale averages 0.9 goals scored per game over last 10 matches
  • Head-to-head history shows 3 draws in the last 5 meetings
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
76/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Kawasaki Frontale

  • Tighter defenseKawasaki Frontale

    Kawasaki Frontale are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.1/game conceded
  • Historical edgeKyoto Sanga

    Kyoto Sanga have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    3/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionKawasaki Frontale

    Kawasaki Frontale sit 4 places above Kyoto Sanga in the table.

    #14 vs #18
  • Poor recent formKyoto Sanga

    Kyoto Sanga have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Kawasaki Frontale at 41.68% — final result was a draw, Kawasaki Frontale 2-2 Kyoto Sanga.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (76/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Kawasaki Frontale2.25market 44.5% · model 41.68%
Kyoto Sanga3.05market 32.8% · model 30.57%
Draw3.39market 29.5% · model 27.75%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Kawasaki Frontale have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Kyoto Sanga have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Kawasaki Frontale wins
3Draws
3Kyoto Sanga wins
9-9Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Kawasaki Frontale2.25best 2.31
Draw3.39best 3.56
Kyoto Sanga3.05best 3.17

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.81best 1.87
Under 2.51.96best 2.07

Both teams to score

Yes1.62best 1.65
No2.15best 2.20

Double chance

Kawasaki Frontale/Draw1.35best 1.38
Kawasaki Frontale/Kyoto Sanga1.29best 1.32
Draw/Kyoto Sanga1.62best 1.70

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.33best 4.33
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.36best 1.36
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.20best 1.20
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.00best 3.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Kawasaki Frontale2.25 0.05
Draw3.39 0.02
Kyoto Sanga3.05 0.05
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Kawasaki Frontale win0pp
AI
41.68%
Market
41.7%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
27.75%
Market
27.6%
Kyoto Sanga win-0.1pp
AI
30.57%
Market
30.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
14
Kawasaki Frontale
303003DDD
18
Kyoto Sanga
3012-31LDL

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game0.8
1.1Goals conceded per game2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Kawasaki Frontale

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
25%

Kyoto Sanga

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
50%

More J1 League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto Sanga?+

Our AI model favors Kawasaki Frontale to win, with a 41.68% probability (Draw 27.75%, Kyoto Sanga 30.57%).

What time does Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto Sanga kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).