KIA Tigers vs Samsung Lions
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KIA Tigers | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | — | 7 | 10 | 0 |
 Samsung Lions | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
Data suggests a competitive matchup between KIA Tigers and Samsung Lions, with KIA recently outperforming in head-to-head encounters. Although KIA has struggled defensively, their scoring ability alongside home advantage may give them a slight edge. Both teams have shown fluctuating form, with the potential for a high-scoring game considering their recent scoring averages.
- KIA Tigers have won 3 of the last 5 matchups against Samsung Lions
- Samsung Lions averaging 4.6 runs conceded per game over the last 10 matches
- KIA Tigers scored an average of 3.5 runs and conceded 5.2 runs in their last 10 matches
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors KIA Tigers
- Historical edgeKIA Tigers
KIA Tigers have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Good recent formKIA Tigers
KIA Tigers have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Good recent formSamsung Lions
Samsung Lions have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 49% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked KIA Tigers at 49% — final result was KIA Tigers win, KIA Tigers 7-2 Samsung Lions.
Predicted score was 4-3.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (60/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- KIA Tigers have averaged 6.7 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Samsung Lions have averaged 7.1 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- KIA Tigers are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Samsung Lions.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | KIA Tigers | Samsung Lions |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 2.82▲ | 1.37▼ |
| -1.5 | 2.40▲ | 1.54▲ |
| -1 | 2.03▲ | 1.67▼ |
| -0.5 | 1.75 | 1.96 |
| +0.5 | 1.67 | 2.08 |
| +1 | 1.53▲ | 2.24▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.45▲ | 2.56▼ |
| +2 | 1.36▲ | 2.88▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | 1.40▼ | 2.70▲ |
| 8.5 | 1.54▼ | 2.34▲ |
| 9 | 1.62▼ | 2.17▲ |
| 9.5 | 1.85▼ | 1.90▲ |
| 10 | 1.90▼ | 1.80▲ |
| 10.5 | 2.09▼ | 1.67▲ |
| 11 | 2.31▼ | 1.54▲ |
| 11.5 | 2.60 | 1.45 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samsung Lions | 115 | 68 | 47 | +150 | 59 | — |
| 2 |  KT Wiz Suwon | 112 | 66 | 46 | +90 | 59 | — |
| 3 | KIA Tigers | 115 | 63 | 52 | +80 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  LG Twins | 116 | 64 | 52 | +7 | 55 | — |
| 5 |  Doosan Bears | 117 | 61 | 56 | +57 | 52 | — |
| 6 |  NC Dinos | 111 | 51 | 60 | -22 | 46 | — |
| 7 |  Lotte Giants | 113 | 50 | 63 | -33 | 44 | — |
| 8 |  Hanwha Eagles | 114 | 49 | 65 | +1 | 43 | — |
| 9 |  SSG Landers | 118 | 48 | 70 | -101 | 41 | — |
| 10 |  Kiwoom Heroes | 121 | 42 | 79 | -229 | 35 | — |
More KBO predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win KIA Tigers vs Samsung Lions?+
Our AI model favors KIA Tigers to win, with a 49% probability (Samsung Lions 51%).
What time does KIA Tigers vs Samsung Lions start?+
First pitch is at Aug 12, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in KIA Tigers vs Samsung Lions?+
KIA Tigers: 1, 1, 1, 0, 1, 1, 2, 0. Samsung Lions: 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 7-2.