KIA Tigers vs Samsung Lions
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KIA Tigers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 1 |
 Samsung Lions | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-5
Data suggests a strong historical advantage for KIA Tigers against Samsung Lions, having won the last four encounters. Additionally, Samsung Lions have struggled on the road, contributing to their high goals conceded rate. The numbers indicate that while KIA Tigers have had recent success, Samsung Lions may still be favored to win given the overall trends.
- KIA Tigers have won the last 4 matchups against Samsung Lions.
- Samsung Lions have lost 4 of their last 5 matches against KIA Tigers.
- Both teams average more goals conceded than scored in their last 10 matches.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Samsung Lions
- Good recent formKIA Tigers
KIA Tigers have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Good recent formSamsung Lions
Samsung Lions have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Historical edgeKIA Tigers
KIA Tigers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Samsung Lions at 61% — final result was Samsung Lions win, KIA Tigers 8-9 Samsung Lions.
Predicted score was 3-5.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (74/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- KIA Tigers have averaged 6.7 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Samsung Lions have averaged 7.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- KIA Tigers are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Samsung Lions.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | KIA Tigers | Samsung Lions |
|---|---|---|
| +0.5 | 2.48 | 1.50 |
| +1 | 2.26▲ | 1.51▼ |
| +1.5 | 2.00▲ | 1.73▼ |
| +2 | 1.88▲ | 1.83▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.71▲ | 2.08▼ |
| +3 | 1.60▲ | 2.16▼ |
| +3.5 | 1.47▲ | 2.50▼ |
| +4 | 1.40 | 2.56 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.50▼ | 2.44▲ |
| 9 | 1.54▼ | 2.29▲ |
| 9.5 | 1.72▼ | 2.01▲ |
| 10 | 1.79▼ | 1.92▲ |
| 10.5 | 1.97▼ | 1.79▲ |
| 11 | 2.12▼ | 1.65▲ |
| 11.5 | 2.36 | 1.52 |
| 12 | 2.43 | 1.44 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samsung Lions | 115 | 68 | 47 | +150 | 59 | — |
| 2 |  KT Wiz Suwon | 112 | 66 | 46 | +90 | 59 | — |
| 3 | KIA Tigers | 115 | 63 | 52 | +80 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  LG Twins | 116 | 64 | 52 | +7 | 55 | — |
| 5 |  Doosan Bears | 117 | 61 | 56 | +57 | 52 | — |
| 6 |  NC Dinos | 111 | 51 | 60 | -22 | 46 | — |
| 7 |  Lotte Giants | 113 | 50 | 63 | -33 | 44 | — |
| 8 |  Hanwha Eagles | 114 | 49 | 65 | +1 | 43 | — |
| 9 |  SSG Landers | 118 | 48 | 70 | -101 | 41 | — |
| 10 |  Kiwoom Heroes | 121 | 42 | 79 | -229 | 35 | — |
More KBO predictions
Kiwoom HeroesSSG LandersKT Wiz SuwonHanwha EaglesDoosan BearsLG TwinsNC DinosKIA TigersFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win KIA Tigers vs Samsung Lions?+
Our AI model favors Samsung Lions to win, with a 61% probability (KIA Tigers 39%).
What time does KIA Tigers vs Samsung Lions start?+
First pitch is at Aug 13, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in KIA Tigers vs Samsung Lions?+
KIA Tigers: 0, 0, 0, 1, 4, 2, 1, 0, 0. Samsung Lions: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 3, 3, 0, 2. Final: 8-9.