Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka · Capacity 21,600 · grass
Match events
- 17'Takumi Mase (Y. Funabashi)
- 31'Yasuki Kimoto (Y. Funabashi)
- 46'T. Hirato (Everton Maceio)
- 46'Weverton (K. Nagata)
- 63'Arata Watanabe (Chihiro Kato)
- 68'Chihiro Kato (T. Semba)
- 73'K. Sato (Ryosuke Yamanaka)
- 73'Haruki Arai (Shun Nagasawa)
- 77'K. Uchino (H. Yamamoto)
- 77'Y. Torikai (R. Nemoto)
- 82'R. Nakano (Shun Nagasawa)
- 85'Y. Funabashi (S. Yamashita)
- 86'K. Taniguchi (A. Kawazura)
- 86'João Pedro (F. Honda)
Lineups
- 0.9
- Goals/game
- 0.5
- 1.9
- Conceded/game
- 1.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a closely contested game between bottom-placed teams, both of whom have secured only one point from two matches thus far. Historically, both sides have shown vulnerabilities in defense, making a low-scoring draw a plausible outcome.
- Kyoto Sanga has not yet played at home this season
- Mito Hollyhock has a poor away record with recent losses
- Both teams have struggled defensively, conceding over 2 goals per match on average in the last 10 games
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Kyoto Sanga
- Poor recent formMito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L - Sharper attackKyoto Sanga
Kyoto Sanga are averaging 0.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game - Tighter defenseMito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock are conceding just 1.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game conceded - Higher league positionMito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock sit 11 places above Kyoto Sanga in the table.
#7 vs #18
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Kyoto Sanga at 45% — final result was Mito Hollyhock win, Kyoto Sanga 1-3 Mito Hollyhock.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (74/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Kyoto Sanga have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Mito Hollyhock have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 |  Kyoto Sanga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 | LDL |
| 7 |  Mito Hollyhock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | WDL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Kyoto Sanga
Mito Hollyhock
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FC TokyoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock?+
Our AI model favors Kyoto Sanga to win, with a 45% probability (Draw 28%, Mito Hollyhock 27%).
Where is Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock played?+
The match is played at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka (capacity 21,600).
What time does Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).