Laagri vs FC Levadia Tallinn

Meistriliiga· Regular Season - 23
WDWWGoals 18-166th in league
DWWWGoals 32-71st in league
Home6W 1D 6L(23-19)
Away10W 2D 0L(29-11)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 19'M. Ainsalu (M. Skvortsov)
  2. 39'A. Binate (K. Eerme)
  3. 63'M. Seck (A. Kose)
  4. 64'M. Skvortsov
  5. 67'H. Palutaja (E. Kajari)
  6. 67'K. Roomussaar (M. Kelement)
  7. 73'A. Binate
  8. 77'Wendell (N. Kutateladze)
  9. 77'M. Skvortsov (M. Bessala)
  10. 80'A. Kaevats (S. Salei)
  11. 80'M. Kesa (S. Suppi)
  12. 84'R. Peetson
Lineups unavailable for this match.
LaagriFC Levadia Tallinn
1.8
Goals/game
3.2
1.6
Conceded/game
0.7

AI match analysis

Laagri win
10%
Draw
15%
FC Levadia Tallinn win
75%
64.9%BTTS
70.6%Over 2.5
9.1%Laagri clean sheet
28.7%FC Levadia Tallinn clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-3

The numbers favor FC Levadia Tallinn significantly as they arrive in strong form, maintaining an unbeaten record in their last 11 away games. Laagri, while having some positive recent home results, still struggles defensively, having conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match. Historically, FC Levadia has dominated this matchup, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters, further supporting expectations of a victory.

  • FC Levadia Tallinn unbeaten in last 11 away games
  • Laagri has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game over last 10 matches
  • FC Levadia Tallinn has a strong recent scoring average of 2.8 goals per game
  • In head-to-head history, FC Levadia Tallinn won 4 out of last 5 matches against Laagri.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
99/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FC Levadia Tallinn

  • Historical edgeFC Levadia Tallinn

    FC Levadia Tallinn have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionFC Levadia Tallinn

    FC Levadia Tallinn sit 5 places above Laagri in the table.

    #1 vs #6
  • Strong home recordLaagri

    Laagri have won 6 of their last 13 home matches.

    6/13 home wins
  • Strong away recordFC Levadia Tallinn

    FC Levadia Tallinn have won 10 of their last 12 away matches.

    10/12 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked FC Levadia Tallinn at 75% — final result was FC Levadia Tallinn win, Laagri 1-2 FC Levadia Tallinn.

Predicted score was 1-3.

This was a high confidence pick (99/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

FC Levadia Tallinn1.23market 81.2% · model 75%
Draw5.47market 18.3% · model 15%
Laagri8.51market 11.8% · model 10%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Laagri have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • FC Levadia Tallinn have averaged 3.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Laagri wins
2Draws
5FC Levadia Tallinn wins
6-20Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Laagri8.51best 9.55
Draw5.47best 6.06
FC Levadia Tallinn1.23best 1.27

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.31best 1.36
Under 2.52.96best 3.20

Both teams to score

Yes1.65best 1.73
No2.05best 2.17

Double chance

Laagri/Draw3.42best 3.75
Laagri/FC Levadia Tallinn1.09best 1.13
Draw/FC Levadia Tallinn1.04best 1.08

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.20best 2.20
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.62best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes9.00best 9.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.04best 1.04

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Laagri8.51 0.24
Draw5.47 0.10
FC Levadia Tallinn1.23 0.01
15 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

Laagri win-0.6pp
AI
10%
Market
10.6%
Draw-1.4pp
AI
15%
Market
16.4%
FC Levadia Tallinn win+2pp
AI
75%
Market
73%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
6
Laagri
249114-628LLLW
1
FC Levadia Tallinn
231751+4356WWDW

Pre-match comparison

1.8Goals scored per game3.2
1.6Goals conceded per game0.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

J. Jaanovits

2.94Yellow cards / game
0.11Red cards / game
0.17Penalties scored / game

Based on 18 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Laagri

0-15'
0%
16-30'
66.7%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
0%

FC Levadia Tallinn

0-15'
0%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
66.7%
76-90+'
0%

More Meistriliiga predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Laagri vs FC Levadia Tallinn?+

Our AI model favors FC Levadia Tallinn to win, with a 75% probability (Draw 15%, Laagri 10%).

What time does Laagri vs FC Levadia Tallinn kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).