Laagri vs Kalju Nomme — Meistriliiga

Meistriliiga· Regular Season - 24

Laagri

1–0Full-time

Kalju Nomme

LLWDWLGoals 18-186th in league

WWWWWLGoals 27-62nd in league

Home6W 1D 6L(23-19)

Away7W 2D 3L(16-7)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

37'A. Kaevats
65'H. Palutaja (S. Suppi)
66'R. Reimaa (A. Binate)
67'M. Seck
70'M. Tambedou
71'T. Baptista (I. Jabir)
76'K. Eerme
78'D. Sotsugov (D. Tarassenkov)
80'A. Borolinstsikov
82'A. Borolinstsikov (F. Jekimov)
82'M. Tambedou (A. Nikolajev)
83'K. Roomussaar (M. Kelement)
90+2'S. Suppi
90+5'U. Kõrre

Lineups unavailable for this match.

LaagriKalju Nomme

1.8
Goals/game: 2.7; 1.8
Conceded/game: 0.6

AI match analysis

Laagri win

19.7%

Draw

22.31%

Kalju Nomme win

57.99%

62.5%BTTS

67%Over 2.5

10.5%Laagri clean sheet

30.1%Kalju Nomme clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-3

The data suggests a significant advantage for Kalju Nomme heading into this match, given their strong recent form and head-to-head success against Laagri. Kalju has demonstrated remarkable scoring ability, averaging 3 goals in their last 10 matches, while Laagri's inconsistency could be a critical factor. With Laagri's struggles reflected in their home record, Kalju is likely to capitalize on these vulnerabilities.

Kalju Nomme in strong form with 4 wins in last 5 matches
Laagri has lost 3 of their last 5 matches
Head-to-head record favors Kalju Nomme with 3 wins in the last 5 encounters
Kalju Nomme has a superior away record with 7 wins from 11 matches

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

96/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Kalju Nomme

Sharper attackKalju Nomme
Kalju Nomme are averaging 2.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.7/game
Tighter defenseKalju Nomme
Kalju Nomme are conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.6/game conceded
Historical edgeKalju Nomme
Kalju Nomme have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
6/8 H2H wins
Good recent formLaagri
Laagri have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Kalju Nomme at 57.99% — final result was Laagri win, Laagri 1-0 Kalju Nomme.

Predicted score was 1-3.

This was a high confidence pick (96/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Kalju Nomme1.56market 64% · model 57.99%

Draw4.02market 24.9% · model 22.31%

Laagri ✓4.51market 22.2% · model 19.7%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Laagri have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Kalju Nomme have averaged 2.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Laagri wins

1Draws

6Kalju Nomme wins

6-14Goals

Laagri

1–3Oct 19, 2025, 11:30 AM

Kalju Nomme

Laagri

2–3Sep 24, 2025, 3:00 PM

Kalju Nomme

1–0Jun 18, 2025, 5:00 PM

Laagri

Kalju Nomme

3–0Apr 9, 2025, 3:00 PM

Laagri

1–0Sep 30, 2023, 11:30 AM

Kalju Nomme

1–0Jul 22, 2023, 4:30 PM

Laagri

Kalju Nomme

1–1May 12, 2023, 4:00 PM

Laagri

1–2Mar 19, 2023, 12:30 PM

Kalju Nomme

Odds comparison

Match winner

Laagri4.51▼best 4.90

Draw4.02▼best 4.30

Kalju Nomme1.56▲best 1.62

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.45▼best 1.52

Under 2.52.45▲best 2.65

Both teams to score

Yes1.51▼best 1.57

No2.30▲best 2.43

Double chance

Laagri/Draw2.17▼best 2.27

Laagri/Kalju Nomme1.17▲best 1.22

Draw/Kalju Nomme1.15▲best 1.20

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.44▼best 1.44

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.62▲best 2.62

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes7.00▲best 7.00

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.08▼best 1.08

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Laagri4.51▲ 0.61

Draw4.02▲ 0.22

Kalju Nomme1.56▼ 0.11

19 Aug – 22 Aug

Model vs market

Laagri win-0.3pp

19.7%

Market

20%

Draw-0.1pp

22.31%

Market

22.4%

Kalju Nomme win+0.4pp

57.99%

Market

57.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.