Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC

UEFA Europa Conference League· Playoff round
Larne
03After Extra Time
Lincoln Red Imps FC
WLDWGoals 21-7
LLLLGoals 7-21
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 57'A. Coulibaly (F. Alvarez)
  2. 68'D. Sloan (C. McKendry)
  3. 68'P. O'Neill (M. Gibson)
  4. 71'M. Gibson
  5. 73'M. Lusty
  6. 77'M. Lusty (K. O'Hara)
  7. 77'J. Simpson (J. McEneff)
  8. 78'Álex Mula (N. Pinto)
  9. 80'B. Lopes
  10. 82'K. Gomez (J. Eersteling)
  11. 84'M. Toledano (Nano)
  12. 87'M. Gibson
  13. 87'M. Gibson
  14. 90+1'C. Gallagher
  15. 90+3'N. Pinto
  16. 105'R. Doherty (B. Magee)
  17. 107'G. Torrilla (Joe)
  18. 119'J. Hankins
  19. 120+1'C. McKendry (J. Ukek)
  20. 120'M. Toledano

Lineups

LarneLincoln Red Imps FC
2.1
Goals/game
0.7
0.7
Conceded/game
2.1

AI match analysis

Larne win
46%
Draw
27%
Lincoln Red Imps FC win
27%
44.2%BTTS
53.1%Over 2.5
49.7%Larne clean sheet
12.2%Lincoln Red Imps FC clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-0

Data suggests that Larne holds a distinct edge going into this match, having won their last two encounters against Lincoln Red Imps FC without conceding. Furthermore, Lincoln has struggled recently, with a losing streak in their last four matches, averaging just 0.7 goals scored while conceding 2.1. Based on these factors, a 2-0 victory for Larne appears to be the most likely outcome.

  • Larne unbeaten in last 3 matches against Lincoln Red Imps FC
  • Lincoln Red Imps FC has lost last 4 matches in a row
  • Larne has averaged 2.1 goals scored per game in last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
69/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Larne

  • Poor recent formLincoln Red Imps FC

    Lincoln Red Imps FC have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Sharper attackLarne

    Larne are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.1/game
  • Tighter defenseLarne

    Larne are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.7/game conceded
  • Historical edgeLarne

    Larne have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two teams.

    2/3 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Larne at 46% — final result was Lincoln Red Imps FC win, Larne 0-3 Lincoln Red Imps FC.

Predicted score was 2-0.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Larne1.98market 50.6% · model 46%
Draw3.44market 29.1% · model 27%
Lincoln Red Imps FC3.54market 28.2% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Larne have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Lincoln Red Imps FC have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 3 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Larne wins
0Draws
1Lincoln Red Imps FC wins
6-3Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Larne1.98best 2.07
Draw3.44best 3.60
Lincoln Red Imps FC3.54best 3.81

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.94best 2.05
Under 2.51.82best 1.90

Both teams to score

Yes1.78best 1.83
No1.92best 1.98

Double chance

Larne/Draw1.26best 1.32
Larne/Lincoln Red Imps FC1.26best 1.31
Draw/Lincoln Red Imps FC1.78best 1.88

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.50best 1.50
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.50best 2.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22best 1.22
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.00best 4.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Larne1.98 0.03
Draw3.44 0.26
Lincoln Red Imps FC3.54 0.24
26 Aug27 Aug

Model vs market

Larne win-0.9pp
AI
46%
Market
46.9%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
27%
Market
26.9%
Lincoln Red Imps FC win+0.8pp
AI
27%
Market
26.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

2.1Goals scored per game0.7
0.7Goals conceded per game2.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

R. Gidzhenov

6.57Yellow cards / game
0.71Red cards / game
0.14Penalties scored / game

Based on 7 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Larne

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
100%

Lincoln Red Imps FC

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC?+

Our AI model favors Larne to win, with a 46% probability (Draw 27%, Lincoln Red Imps FC 27%).

What time does Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).