Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne

UEFA Europa Conference League· Playoff round
WLLLGoals 8-22
DWLDGoals 21-7
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 20'M. Toledano
  2. 28'Y. Flalhi Idrissi
  3. 28'S. Graham
  4. 43'M. Lusty
  5. 56'Alex Mula (A. Romero Morillo)
  6. 57'M. Gibson
  7. 59'M. Gibson (K. O'Hara)
  8. 68'Joe (G. Torrilla)
  9. 68'M. Toledano (K. Gomez)
  10. 68'F. Alvarez (T. Cardozo)
  11. 69'C. Gallagher (J. McEneff)
  12. 69'S. Graham (J. Simpson)
  13. 72'G. Torrilla
  14. 73'J. McEneff
  15. 76'D. Sloan (C. McKendry)
  16. 77'M. Lusty (P. O'Neill)
  17. 83'Mandi (A. Coulibaly)
  18. 85'P. O'Neill (K. O'Hara)
  19. 90+3'K. O'Hara (P. O'Neill)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Lincoln Red Imps FCLarne
0.8
Goals/game
2.1
2.2
Conceded/game
0.7

AI match analysis

Lincoln Red Imps FC win
47%
Draw
29%
Larne win
24%
46.6%BTTS
55.4%Over 2.5
11.6%Lincoln Red Imps FC clean sheet
47.2%Larne clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The analysis indicates a competitive match, with Larne holding an edge based on their recent form, having averaged over two goals scored per game, while Lincoln Red Imps FC has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game. Head-to-head results suggest a close rivalry, but Larne's unbeaten run and offensive output position them favorably for this matchup.

  • Larne unbeaten in last 3 matches
  • Lincoln Red Imps FC conceded 2.2 goals per game in last 10 matches
  • Larne has scored an average of 2.1 goals per game in last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
68/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Lincoln Red Imps FC

  • Sharper attackLarne

    Larne are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.1/game
  • Tighter defenseLarne

    Larne are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.7/game conceded
  • Poor recent formLincoln Red Imps FC

    Lincoln Red Imps FC have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Lincoln Red Imps FC at 47% — final result was Larne win, Lincoln Red Imps FC 0-2 Larne.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Lincoln Red Imps FC1.96market 51.1% · model 47%
Draw3.32market 30.1% · model 29%
Larne3.74market 26.7% · model 24%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Lincoln Red Imps FC have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Larne have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Lincoln Red Imps FC wins
0Draws
1Larne wins
3-4Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Lincoln Red Imps FC1.96best 2.02
Draw3.32best 3.46
Larne3.74best 4.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.99best 2.05
Under 2.51.77best 1.82

Both teams to score

Yes1.79best 1.91
No1.91best 2.02

Double chance

Lincoln Red Imps FC/Draw1.24best 1.29
Lincoln Red Imps FC/Larne1.28best 1.32
Draw/Larne1.78best 1.87

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.50best 1.50
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.50best 2.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22best 1.22
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.00best 4.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Lincoln Red Imps FC1.96 0.44
Draw3.32 0.32
Larne3.74 0.86
17 Aug20 Aug

Model vs market

Lincoln Red Imps FC win-0.3pp
AI
47%
Market
47.3%
Draw+1.1pp
AI
29%
Market
27.9%
Larne win-0.8pp
AI
24%
Market
24.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

0.8Goals scored per game2.1
2.2Goals conceded per game0.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

K. Tohver

3Yellow cards / game
0.1Red cards / game
0.24Penalties scored / game

Based on 21 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Lincoln Red Imps FC

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Larne

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
100%

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?+

Our AI model favors Lincoln Red Imps FC to win, with a 47% probability (Draw 29%, Larne 24%).

What time does Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).