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Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom

Ekstraklasa· Regular Season - 4
Legia Warszawa
5–0Full-time
Radomiak Radom
WLDDGoals 14-141st in league
LLDDGoals 12-1516th in league
Home2W 0D 0L(8-1)
Away0W 0D 2L(1-8)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 7'Michal Ševčík (P. Wszołek)
  2. 9'Zié Ouattara
  3. 10'Goal Under Review — R. Augustyniak
  4. 10'R. Augustyniak
  5. 17'Rafał Adamski (Rúben Vinagre)
  6. 44'B. Kapustka
  7. 45+2'Adrián Diéguez
  8. 46'Michal Ševčík (J. Zewlakow)
  9. 51'B. Kapustka (P. Wszołek)
  10. 56'Rafał Adamski (J. Kuchta)
  11. 56'D. Szymański (Henrique Arreiol)
  12. 57'Abdoul Tapsoba (Fernand Gouré)
  13. 57'R. Lumungo (Romário Baró)
  14. 61'Adrián Diéguez (Filip Koperski)
  15. 61'I. Camará (C. Donis)
  16. 71'Łukasz Zjawiński (Mileta Rajovic)
  17. 81'Conrado Buchanelli Holz (Kacper Karasek)
  18. 82'P. Wszołek (Erik Mikanovich)
  19. 90+1'B. Kapustka

Lineups

Legia Warszawa
Radomiak Radom
3-1-4-24-1-4-1
89. Ottó Hindrich
5. Robert Deziel Jr.
8
8. R. Augustyniak
91. Kamil Piątkowski
4
← 56'
4. D. Szymański
19. Rúben Vinagre
67
67. B. Kapustka
← 46'
23. Michal Ševčík
22
← 82'
22. P. Wszołek
← 56'
9. Rafał Adamski
← 71'
79. Łukasz Zjawiński
← 57'
15. Abdoul Tapsoba
13. Jan Grzesik
82
82. Luquinhas
27
27. R. Wolski
90. Ronaldo Lumungo
8
← 61'
8. I. Camará
97
← 81'
97. Conrado Buchanelli Holz
26
← 61'
26. Adrián Diéguez
3. Kryspin Szcześniak
24. Zié Ouattara
99. Bartlomiej Gradecki
Marek PapszunCoachTomasz Kaczmarek
Bench (10)
Bench (12)
Legia WarszawaRadomiak Radom
1.4
Goals/game
1.2
1.4
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

Legia Warszawa win
62.53%
Draw
21.12%
Radomiak Radom win
16.35%
55.7%BTTS
51.9%Over 2.5
27.3%Legia Warszawa clean sheet
23.5%Radomiak Radom clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests that Legia Warszawa holds a significant advantage going into this match, having won their only home game this season. In contrast, Radomiak Radom has struggled on the road, failing to secure a point in their sole away match. Furthermore, historical head-to-head results favor Legia, adding to the likelihood of a home victory.

  • Legia Warszawa unbeaten at home this season with 1 win.
  • Radomiak Radom struggling away, with 1 loss in their only away match.
  • Legia Warszawa has scored 1.5 goals per game on average in last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Legia Warszawa

  • Strong home recordLegia Warszawa

    Legia Warszawa have won 2 of their last 2 home matches.

    2/2 home wins
  • Weak away recordRadomiak Radom

    Radomiak Radom have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.

    0/2 away wins
  • Higher league positionLegia Warszawa

    Legia Warszawa sit 15 places above Radomiak Radom in the table.

    #1 vs #16
  • Poor recent formRadomiak Radom

    Radomiak Radom have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 2D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Legia Warszawa at 62.53% — final result was Legia Warszawa win, Legia Warszawa 5-0 Radomiak Radom.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Legia Warszawa ✓1.47market 67.8% · model 62.53%
Draw4.26market 23.5% · model 21.12%
Radomiak Radom6.07market 16.5% · model 16.35%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Legia Warszawa have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Radomiak Radom have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Legia Warszawa wins
0Draws
4Radomiak Radom wins
10-13Goals
Radomiak Radom
3–1Feb 22, 2025, 7:15 PM
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
4–1Aug 18, 2024, 3:30 PM
Radomiak Radom
Legia Warszawa
0–3May 5, 2024, 3:30 PM
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom
0–1Nov 5, 2023, 4:30 PM
Legia Warszawa
Radomiak Radom
0–2Mar 17, 2023, 7:30 PM
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
1–0Sep 2, 2022, 6:30 PM
Radomiak Radom
Legia Warszawa
0–3Dec 19, 2021, 4:30 PM
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom
3–1Jul 31, 2021, 6:00 PM
Legia Warszawa

Odds comparison

Match winner

Legia Warszawa1.47▼best 1.60
Draw4.26▲best 4.70
Radomiak Radom6.07▲best 6.63

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.68▲best 1.76
Under 2.52.11▼best 2.23

Both teams to score

Yes1.79▲best 1.85
No1.93▼best 2.07

Double chance

Legia Warszawa/Draw1.12▼best 1.15
Legia Warszawa/Radomiak Radom1.19▼best 1.25
Draw/Radomiak Radom2.52▲best 2.75

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.61▲best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.10▼best 1.10
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes6.50▲best 7.00
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.20▼best 2.20

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Legia Warszawa1.47▼ 0.10
Draw4.26▲ 0.06
Radomiak Radom6.07▲ 0.87
11 Aug – 14 Aug

Model vs market

Legia Warszawa win-0.4pp
AI
62.53%
Market
62.9%
Draw-0.7pp
AI
21.12%
Market
21.8%
Radomiak Radom win+1.1pp
AI
16.35%
Market
15.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Legia Warszawa
5320+811WDWW
16
Radomiak Radom
5113-84LLLW

Pre-match comparison

1.4Goals scored per game1.2
1.4Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Legia Warszawa

0-15'
20%
16-30'
30%
31-45'
10%
46-60'
10%
61-75'
10%
76-90+'
20%

Radomiak Radom

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
100%
76-90+'
0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom?+

Our AI model favors Legia Warszawa to win, with a 62.53% probability (Draw 21.12%, Radomiak Radom 16.35%).

What time does Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).