Leixoes vs União de Leiria
Match events
- 4'B. Rochez (C. Araujo)
- 15'Juan Muñoz
- 18'Semeu
- 24'P. Fernandez (Jair da Silva)
- 28'A. Balde
- 37'Semeu (Miguel Sousa)
- 42'Bica (Luccas Paraizo)
- 51'N. Ondo
- 58'A. Balde
- 58'A. Balde
- 59'Albert Lottin (Tharlley)
- 59'Marcelo
- 66'Simão (Kaique)
- 67'Salvador Agra (Rafael Barbosa)
- 67'B. Rochez (N. Serif)
- 71'P. Fernandez
- 74'P. Fernandez (Jaiminho)
- 74'N. Ondo (Samuel Ntanda)
- 75'Samuel Ntanda
- 83'Guirassy (Kouassi Eboue)
- 83'Juan Muñoz (Reko)
- 90+2'Luccas Paraizo
- 1.8
- Goals/game
- 1.2
- 0.9
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-0
Data suggests that Leixoes has a solid home advantage, having won their only home match this season, while União de Leiria is struggling with no points from two games. Leixoes has exhibited better recent form, winning three out of their last five matches, while União de Leiria has yet to secure a win. Given the historical context of low-scoring encounters, a narrow win for Leixoes seems plausible.
- Leixoes undefeated at home this season
- União de Leiria has lost both of their opening matches
- Leixoes has a better recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches
- Historically, matches between these teams have been low-scoring with 3 goalless draws in last 4 encounters.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Leixoes
- Strong home recordLeixoes
Leixoes have won 1 of their last 2 home matches.
1/2 home wins - Strong away recordUnião de Leiria
União de Leiria have won 1 of their last 2 away matches.
1/2 away wins - Good recent formLeixoes
Leixoes have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formUnião de Leiria
União de Leiria have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Leixoes at 40% — final result was União de Leiria win, Leixoes 2-4 União de Leiria.
Predicted score was 1-0.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Leixoes have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- União de Leiria have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |  Leixoes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 9 |  União de Leiria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
A. Narciso
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Leixoes
União de Leiria
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VizelaFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Leixoes vs União de Leiria?+
Our AI model favors Leixoes to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 28%, União de Leiria 32%).
What time does Leixoes vs União de Leiria kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).