Lincoln vs Portsmouth
Match events
- 7'Ryan Kavuma-McQueen (Abu Kamara)
- 16'Adrian Segecic
- 32'Reeco Hackett-Fairchild
- 34'Freddie Draper
- 55'Tendayi Darikwa (Andrei Coubiș)
- 55'R. Shein
- 58'Ryan Kavuma-McQueen (J. Murphy)
- 58'R. Shein (Ebou Adams)
- 66'Ivan Varfolomeev (T. Bayliss)
- 66'Dom Jefferies (Robert Street)
- 68'T. Bayliss
- 69'Ebou Adams
- 71'Tom Hamer
- 75'B. House (Mason Melia)
- 75'Freddie Draper (Tanto Olaofe)
- 77'J. Murphy (Marko Milovanović)
- 86'Abu Kamara (Luke Brooke-Smith)
- 86'M. Pack (J. Knight)
Lineups
- 2.2
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.6
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The data suggests a competitive match, with Lincoln's recent form showing a strong attack, averaging 2.1 goals scored in their last 10 matches. However, Portsmouth's defensive challenges, having conceded an average of 1.6 goals in their recent games, could imply vulnerabilities. Historical head-to-head results favor Portsmouth slightly, having not lost to Lincoln in their last 5 meetings despite recent poor form. Overall, Lincoln is favored to edge this encounter with a predicted score of 2-1.
- Lincoln has won 4 of their last 5 matches, demonstrating strong scoring ability.
- Portsmouth has lost 4 out of their last 5 matches, indicating struggles defensively.
- Historically, Lincoln has not beaten Portsmouth in their last 5 encounters.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Lincoln
- Good recent formLincoln
Lincoln have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Poor recent formPortsmouth
Portsmouth have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Historical edgePortsmouth
Portsmouth have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Sharper attackLincoln
Lincoln are averaging 2.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.2/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Lincoln at 41% — final result was Portsmouth win, Lincoln 1-3 Portsmouth.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (75/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Lincoln have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Portsmouth have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | LL | |
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
Tony Harrington
Based on 18 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Lincoln
Portsmouth
Match statistics
Player ratings
- 1Ebou AdamsPortsmouth⚽ 18.0
- 2Abu KamaraPortsmouth🅰️ 17.9
- 3Ryan Kavuma-McQueenPortsmouth⚽ 17.7
- 4George WickensLincoln7.5
- 5Adrian SegecicPortsmouth⚽ 17.5
- 6N. SchmidPortsmouth7.3
Box score
Lincoln
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Bench (9)
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Portsmouth
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Bench (9)
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More Championship predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Lincoln vs Portsmouth?+
Our AI model favors Lincoln to win, with a 41% probability (Draw 28%, Portsmouth 31%).
What time does Lincoln vs Portsmouth kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).






























