Llaneros vs Millonarios

Primera A· Clausura - 7

Llaneros

0–2Full-time

Millonarios

LDLLDWGoals 9-162nd in league

WLDDWDGoals 13-123rd in league

Home2W 0D 1L(4-3)

Away2W 1D 0L(4-1)

Estadio Bello Horizonte, Villavicencio · Capacity 18,000 · grass · Referee: F. Ossa Orozco

Match events

4'Card upgrade confirmed — Jhon Vasquez
5'Jhon Vasquez
9'S. Valencia
30'F. Chaverra (D. Ruiz)
46'Y. Mena (C. Cortes)
46'N. Ospina (Kelvin Osorio)
46'F. Castaneda (J. Contreras)
49'D. Ruiz
49'Goal Disallowed - offside — D. Ruiz
52'Goal cancelled — D. Ruiz
55'H. H. Mena Posada
55'Y. Mena
56'D. Ruiz
61'J. Escobar Salcedo
63'C. D. Quinones Caicedo (D. Quintero)
70'D. Ruiz (A. Estupinan)
70'S. Valencia (M. Garcia)
74'L. Miranda (J. Ramirez)
78'Jaine Barreiro
80'L. Castro (Darwin Quintero)
80'Leonai (S. Viveros)
82'A. Estupinan (Darwin Quintero)
86'F. Chaverra (J. Angulo)
90+1'J. Contreras

Lineups

Llaneros

Millonarios

4-1-4-15-3-2

Jose GarciaCoach

Fabian Bustos

Bench (9)

AI match analysis

Llaneros win

26%

Draw

33%

Millonarios win

41%

49.8%BTTS

45.6%Over 2.5

23.5%Llaneros clean sheet

35%Millonarios clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests that this match could favor a close encounter, given Llaneros' recent form and home advantage despite a poor home record overall. Millonarios' inconsistent away performance combined with competitive head-to-head results points towards a potentially tight game, likely resulting in a low-scoring draw.

Llaneros unbeaten in last 5 matches (WDWDW)
Millonarios have a strong head-to-head history with 2 wins and 2 draws in last 4 meetings
Both teams have struggled with away form this season, particularly Millonarios with only 1 away win

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

72/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Millonarios

Poor recent formLlaneros
Llaneros have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L
Strong recent formMillonarios
Millonarios are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 2 wins.
2W 3D 0L
Higher league positionLlaneros
Llaneros sit 1 place above Millonarios in the table.
#2 vs #3
Sharper attackMillonarios
Millonarios are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Millonarios at 41% — final result was Millonarios win, Llaneros 0-2 Millonarios.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (72/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Millonarios ✓2.19market 45.6% · model 41%

Draw3.08market 32.5% · model 33%

Llaneros3.39market 29.5% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Llaneros have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Millonarios have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Llaneros wins

2Draws

1Millonarios wins

5-5Goals

Millonarios

0–1Jul 29, 2025, 1:10 AM

Llaneros

2–2Feb 12, 2025, 12:30 AM

Millonarios

1–1Apr 12, 2019, 12:30 AM

Llaneros

1–2Mar 20, 2019, 8:00 PM

Millonarios

Odds comparison

Match winner

Llaneros3.39▼best 3.67

Draw3.08▲best 3.25

Millonarios2.19▲best 2.26

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.17▼best 2.25

Under 2.51.65▲best 1.70

Both teams to score

Yes1.86▼best 1.93

No1.85▲best 1.91

Double chance

Llaneros/Draw1.62▼best 1.72

Llaneros/Millonarios1.33best 1.36

Draw/Millonarios1.29▲best 1.32

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.47▼best 1.50

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.51▲best 2.62

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.48▲best 3.50

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.27▼best 1.28

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Llaneros3.39▼ 0.35

Draw3.08▼ 0.02

Millonarios2.19▲ 0.16

24 Aug – 27 Aug

Model vs market

Llaneros win-1.4pp

AI

26%

Market

27.4%

Draw+2.8pp

AI

33%

Market

30.2%

Millonarios win-1.4pp

AI

41%

Market

42.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.