Lobos Upnfm vs Estrella Roja — Liga Nacional

Liga Nacional· Apertura - 3

Lobos Upnfm

2–2Full-time

Estrella Roja

WDLWDLGoals 10-1710th in league

WWGoals 7-25th in league

Home0W 2D 0L(3-3)

Away1W 1D 0L(4-2)

Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca · Capacity 8,000 · artificial turf

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

46'J. Gutierrez (O. Rosales)
46'M. Juan (D. Carter)
46'A. Zúñiga (D. Rodas)
46'M. Rodriguez (C. Mejia)
56'S. Elvir
59'O. Rosales
65'L. Juarez
70'J. Núñez
73'C. Calix (P. Gonzalez)
73'M. García (D. Duron)
75'D. Suazo
75'Luis Hurtado (A. Erazo)
77'D. Carter
83'N. Luna (B. Rosales)
83'J. Velasquez (F. Lopez)
88'E. Gomez

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Lobos UpnfmEstrella Roja

1.0
Goals/game: 3.5; 1.7
Conceded/game: 1.0

AI match analysis

Lobos Upnfm win

27%

Draw

30%

Estrella Roja win

43%

58.5%BTTS

69.7%Over 2.5

7.4%Lobos Upnfm clean sheet

36.8%Estrella Roja clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Estrella Roja comes into this match with a strong away performance, having won their only away match and currently averaging 2 goals scored per game. In contrast, Lobos Upnfm has struggled with recent form, failing to win in their last five outings and holding a negative goal differential. The numbers favor the away side, which could complicate matters for the home team.

Estrella Roja has won their only away match this season
Lobos Upnfm has failed to win in their last 5 matches
Lobos Upnfm currently has a goal differential of -2
Estrella Roja has a recent scoring average of 2 goals per game while Lobos averages 1 goal scored.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

57/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Estrella Roja

Poor recent formLobos Upnfm
Lobos Upnfm have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L
Strong recent formEstrella Roja
Estrella Roja are unbeaten in their last 2 matches, including 2 wins.
2W 0D 0L
Weak home recordLobos Upnfm
Lobos Upnfm have won 0 of their last 2 home matches.
0/2 home wins
Strong away recordEstrella Roja
Estrella Roja have won 1 of their last 2 away matches.
1/2 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

Limited recent-match sample
Estrella Roja has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Estrella Roja at 43% — final result was a draw, Lobos Upnfm 2-2 Estrella Roja.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (57/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Match trends

Lobos Upnfm have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Estrella Roja have averaged 3.5 goals scored per game over their last 2 matches.