Los Angeles FC vs San Diego
Value found
+7.5% edgeSan Diego win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 21'Denis Bouanga
- 21'Goal Disallowed - handball — Denis Bouanga
- 29'A. Alvarado
- 53'Lewis Morgan (M. Achouri)
- 61'Eddie Segura
- 65'Tyler Boyd (Jacob Shaffelburg)
- 65'Timothy Tillman (Mathieu Choinière)
- 73'A. Alvarado (J. Tverskov)
- 73'Gabriel Pirani (O. Valakari)
- 75'O. Valakari
- 80'Marky Delgado
- 84'Mathieu Choinière
- 85'Ian Murphy (Christopher McVey)
- 85'M. Ingvartsen (Amahl Pellegrino)
- 89'Anders Dreyer
- 90+7'Heung-Min Son
- 90'Ryan Hollingshead (Ryan Raposo)
- 90'Eddie Segura (Jeremy Ebobisse)
- 90'Anders Dreyer
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 2.2
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Los Angeles FC is in strong form, going unbeaten in their last five matches, while San Diego has struggled away this season. The historical performance shows San Diego's recent dominance in head-to-head matchups, but given the current form and home advantage for Los Angeles, the numbers favor a home victory.
- Los Angeles FC unbeaten in last 5 matches.
- San Diego has lost 4 of their last 8 away games.
- Historically, San Diego has won the last two meetings against Los Angeles FC, indicating a competitive rivalry.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Los Angeles FC
- Historical edgeSan Diego
San Diego have won 2 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.
2/2 H2H wins - Higher league positionLos Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC sit 8 places above San Diego in the table.
#3 vs #11 - Strong home recordLos Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC have won 7 of their last 12 home matches.
7/12 home wins - Weak away recordSan Diego
San Diego have won 2 of their last 10 away matches.
2/10 away wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Los Angeles FC at 56% — final result was San Diego win, Los Angeles FC 0-1 San Diego.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (94/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Los Angeles FC have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- San Diego have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +14 | 35 | LLDW |
| 11 |  San Diego | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | +5 | 27 | LWDW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
I. Elfath
Based on 5 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Los Angeles FC
San Diego
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CharlotteFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Los Angeles FC vs San Diego?+
Our AI model favors Los Angeles FC to win, with a 56% probability (Draw 21%, San Diego 23%).
What time does Los Angeles FC vs San Diego kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 2:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).