Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes
Match events
- 24'Harbor Miller
- 29'N. Fernandez
- 37'Lucas Sanabria
- 45'Lucas Sanabria
- 45'Lucas Sanabria
- 46'Jack Skahan (O. Bouda)
- 46'Niko Tsakiris (Timo Werner)
- 57'Dave Romney
- 61'Luka Jovanovic (Preston Judd)
- 61'N. Fernandez (Beau Leroux)
- 68'Hirving Lozano (Robert Taylor)
- 74'Paul Marie (Vitor Costa)
- 79'Joseph Paintsil (Harbor Miller)
- 83'Joseph Paintsil (Troy Elgersma)
- 84'J. Jasinski
- 90+1'Kyogo Furuhashi (John Nelson)
- 90+2'Justin Haak
Lineups
- 1.8
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 2.6
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The numbers favor a competitive matchup given the head-to-head history, which has seen closely contested games between the two teams. San Jose comes in with a strong away record and significantly better league standing, but Los Angeles has shown some attacking capability at home. Both teams have struggled recently, potentially leading to a lower-scoring affair, hence the predicted score reflects a draw.
- San Jose Earthquakes ranked 4th in the league standings compared to Los Angeles Galaxy's 13th place.
- Los Angeles Galaxy has only won 2 matches at home this season.
- San Jose Earthquakes have a strong away record, winning 6 of their 9 away games.
- Recent head-to-head results show close contests, with 3 of the last 5 ending in draws or narrow victories.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Los Angeles Galaxy
- Weak home recordLos Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy have won 3 of their last 11 home matches.
3/11 home wins - Strong away recordSan Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes have won 6 of their last 10 away matches.
6/10 away wins - Higher league positionSan Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes sit 8 places above Los Angeles Galaxy in the table.
#4 vs #12 - Poor recent formSan Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Los Angeles Galaxy at 43.74% — final result was Los Angeles Galaxy win, Los Angeles Galaxy 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (76/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Los Angeles Galaxy have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- San Jose Earthquakes have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles GalaxySan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles GalaxySan Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles GalaxySan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles GalaxySan Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles GalaxySan Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles GalaxyOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -5 | 26 | WLDD |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +6 | 33 | LLLD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
R. Touchan
Based on 7 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Los Angeles Galaxy
San Jose Earthquakes
Match statistics
Player ratings
- 1Jakob GlesnesLos Angeles Galaxy8.5
- 2A. GunnSan Jose Earthquakes8.2
- 3Joseph PaintsilLos Angeles Galaxy⚽ 17.9
- 4Harbor MillerLos Angeles Galaxy🅰️ 1🟨7.9
- 5J. MarcinkowskiLos Angeles Galaxy7.6
- 6Hirving LozanoLos Angeles Galaxy7.5
Box score
Los Angeles Galaxy
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Bench (8)
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San Jose Earthquakes
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Bench (9)
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CharlotteFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?+
Our AI model favors Los Angeles Galaxy to win, with a 43.74% probability (Draw 23.93%, San Jose Earthquakes 32.33%).
What time does Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 2:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).