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Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense

Segunda Liga· Regular Season - 3
Lusitânia Lourosa
2–2Full-time
Torreense
LLWWGoals 10-113rd in league
WWLDGoals 17-1014th in league
Home1W 1D 0L(4-2)
Away0W 1D 1L(3-4)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 38'Fabinho
  2. 41'D. Mohamed (Hugo Pérez)
  3. 42'D. Paulo
  4. 42'A. Alfaro
  5. 46'J. Santos (João Silva)
  6. 53'Fabinho
  7. 61'A. Baradji (M. Pozo)
  8. 61'Costinha (A. Oudrhiri)
  9. 69'Fabinho (A. Ricardo)
  10. 72'J. Mutombo
  11. 72'S. Mandiang
  12. 73'K. Zohi (K. Zoabi)
  13. 73'N. Jatta (M. Drammeh)
  14. 77'J. Mutombo
  15. 82'M. Pozo
  16. 83'M. Pozo
  17. 84'S. Mandiang (Danny)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Lusitânia LourosaTorreense
1.0
Goals/game
1.7
1.1
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Lusitânia Lourosa win
29%
Draw
29%
Torreense win
42%
47.6%BTTS
43%Over 2.5
24.7%Lusitânia Lourosa clean sheet
36.8%Torreense clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Lusitânia Lourosa is performing well at home with a victory in their only match this season. However, Torreense has demonstrated historical success against Lusitânia, including a recent win in their last matchup. Given Torreense's superior scoring average, they may have the edge in this encounter.

  • Lusitânia Lourosa won their last two matches in the league.
  • Torreense has a recent head-to-head advantage, winning the last encounter.
  • Torreense has scored an average of 1.7 goals per game in their last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
77/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Torreense

  • Strong home recordLusitânia Lourosa

    Lusitânia Lourosa have won 1 of their last 2 home matches.

    1/2 home wins
  • Weak away recordTorreense

    Torreense have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.

    0/2 away wins
  • Higher league positionLusitânia Lourosa

    Lusitânia Lourosa sit 11 places above Torreense in the table.

    #3 vs #14
  • Good recent formTorreense

    Torreense have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Torreense at 42% — final result was a draw, Lusitânia Lourosa 2-2 Torreense.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (77/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Torreense2.22market 45% · model 42%
Lusitânia Lourosa3.09market 32.4% · model 29%
Draw ✓3.14market 31.9% · model 29%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Lusitânia Lourosa have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Torreense have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Lusitânia Lourosa wins
0Draws
1Torreense wins
2-2Goals
Lusitânia Lourosa
1–2May 9, 2026, 7:30 PM
Torreense
Torreense
0–1Dec 30, 2025, 8:15 PM
Lusitânia Lourosa

Odds comparison

Match winner

Lusitânia Lourosa3.09▲best 3.25
Draw3.14▼best 3.30
Torreense2.22▼best 2.30

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.02▲best 2.09
Under 2.51.75▼best 1.80

Both teams to score

Yes1.79▲best 1.80
No1.91▼best 1.95

Double chance

Lusitânia Lourosa/Draw1.60▲best 1.65
Lusitânia Lourosa/Torreense1.30▼best 1.33
Draw/Torreense1.32▼best 1.37

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25▼best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.75▲best 2.75
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.40▼best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.75▲best 3.75

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Lusitânia Lourosa3.09▲ 0.29
Draw3.14▼ 0.08
Torreense2.22▼ 0.16
19 Aug – 22 Aug

Model vs market

Lusitânia Lourosa win-0.6pp
AI
29%
Market
29.6%
Draw-0.2pp
AI
29%
Market
29.2%
Torreense win+0.8pp
AI
42%
Market
41.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
3
Lusitânia Lourosa
3210+37DWW
14
Torreense
3021-12DDL

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game1.7
1.1Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

D. Rosa

9Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Lusitânia Lourosa

0-15'
0%
16-30'
66.7%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

Torreense

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense?+

Our AI model favors Torreense to win, with a 42% probability (Draw 29%, Lusitânia Lourosa 29%).

What time does Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).