Machida Zelvia vs Urawa
National Olympic Stadium, Tokyo
Match events
- 8'H. Nakamura (Mitchell Duke)
- 45+1'Ryoma Watanabe (Takuro Kaneko)
- 46'Mitchell Duke (Takuma Nishimura)
- 54'Takuma Nishimura (Yuki Soma)
- 61'N. Lavi
- 68'Matheus Sávio (H. Minamino)
- 68'H. Ueki (Tatsuki Seko)
- 74'Ryoma Watanabe (J. Hayakawa)
- 74'K. Hayashi (Miki Yamane)
- 80'N. Lavi (R. Shirasaki)
- 81'H. Komori (R. Hidano)
- 83'Yoichi Naganuma
- 88'Yuki Soma (Y. Matsuo)
- 90+1'Hiroyuki Mae (H. Shimoda)
- 90+2'G. Shoji (Ibrahim Dresevic)
- 2.2
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 0.5
- Conceded/game
- 0.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Machida Zelvia is in solid form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches, including a recent victory against Urawa. Conversely, Urawa has struggled, losing their last 3 matches and currently sits in the relegation zone with no points. This analysis points towards Machida likely securing a win at home, with a predicted score of 2-1.
- Machida Zelvia is unbeaten in their last 5 matches, winning 4 of them.
- Urawa has lost their last 3 matches and sits at the bottom of the league standings.
- Machida Zelvia has a strong recent head-to-head advantage over Urawa, winning their last two encounters.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Machida Zelvia
- Strong recent formMachida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.
4W 1D 0L - Poor recent formUrawa
Urawa have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Higher league positionMachida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia sit 18 places above Urawa in the table.
#1 vs #19 - Sharper attackMachida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia are averaging 2.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.2/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Machida Zelvia at 52.8% — final result was Machida Zelvia win, Machida Zelvia 3-1 Urawa.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (89/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Machida Zelvia have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Urawa have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 9 | WWW |
| 19 |  Urawa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Machida Zelvia
Urawa
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FC TokyoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Machida Zelvia vs Urawa?+
Our AI model favors Machida Zelvia to win, with a 52.8% probability (Draw 25.77%, Urawa 21.43%).
Where is Machida Zelvia vs Urawa played?+
The match is played at National Olympic Stadium, Tokyo.
What time does Machida Zelvia vs Urawa kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 10:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).