Manawatu vs North Harbour

Bunnings NPC· 5
LLLLPoints 236-417
LWWWPoints 231-252
Home5W 0D 15L(468-728)
Away4W 0D 16L(573-611)
Kicks off in

Kickoff: Aug 29, 2026, 7:10 PM (stadium time)

Today
Kickoff
In Progress
Full-time

AI match analysis

Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed

Manawatu win
28%
Draw
14%
North Harbour win
58%

Predicted score: 27-38

The data suggests a challenging match for Manawatu as they face North Harbour, who has been in better recent form with three wins in their last four matches. Given their head-to-head history, where North Harbour has typically outperformed Manawatu, the analysis indicates that North Harbour is favored to win this match.

  • Manawatu has only a 25% home win rate this season.
  • North Harbour has a stronger away performance with a 20% win rate but recent form shows three wins out of their last four games.
  • Historically, North Harbour has won three out of their last four encounters against Manawatu, demonstrating dominance in head-to-head matchups.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
68/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.

Why AI favors North Harbour

  • Tighter defenseNorth Harbour

    North Harbour are conceding just 25.2 points per game over their recent matches.

    25.2/game conceded
  • Historical edgeNorth Harbour

    North Harbour have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

    3/4 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formManawatu

    Manawatu have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 0D 5L
  • Good recent formNorth Harbour

    North Harbour have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

Match trends

  • Manawatu have averaged 23.6 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • North Harbour have averaged 23.1 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Manawatu are unbeaten in 1 of the last 4 meetings with North Harbour.
Odds not available for this match yet.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Manawatu wins
0Draws
3North Harbour wins
100-195Points
Standings not available yet.

More Bunnings NPC predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Manawatu vs North Harbour?+

Our AI model favors North Harbour to win, with a 58% probability (Manawatu 28%).

What time does Manawatu vs North Harbour kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 29, 2026, 7:10 AM (your local time, based on your device).