Manchester City vs Bournemouth
Etihad Stadium, Manchester · Capacity 55,097 · grass · Referee: J. Gillett
Match events
- 26'Marcus Tavernier (Evanilson)
- 45+2'Evanilson
- 57'Rico Lewis (Matheus Nunes)
- 63'E. Anderson (M. Kovacic)
- 63'N. O'Reilly (R. Cherki)
- 76'Evanilson (Daniel Jebbison)
- 76'Lewis Cook (Tyler Adams)
- 76'J. Kluivert (Alex Tóth)
- 78'P. Foden
- 82'P. Foden (Jack Grealish)
- 85'A. Silva
- 85'Marc Guehi (R. Cherki)
- 89'Rayan (B. Gannon-Doak)
- 90+2'J. Gvardiol (R. Cherki)
Lineups
- 2.1
- Goals/game
- 1.7
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The statistics favor Manchester City, who have historically performed well against Bournemouth in their last five meetings, securing three victories and one draw. Bournemouth's recent form on the road has included multiple draws, indicating resilience but an inability to secure wins. Given Manchester City's stronger scoring average and home advantage, they are predicted to win this matchup with a scoreline of 2-1.
- Manchester City unbeaten in last 5 home matches against Bournemouth
- Bournemouth has drawn their last 3 away matches
- Manchester City scored 1.8 goals per game in their last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Manchester City
- Historical edgeManchester City
Manchester City have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
6/8 H2H wins - Sharper attackManchester City
Manchester City are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.1/game - Tighter defenseManchester City
Manchester City are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded - Higher league positionManchester City
Manchester City sit 13 places above Bournemouth in the table.
#1 vs #14
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Manchester City at 64% — final result was Manchester City win, Manchester City 2-1 Bournemouth.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Manchester City have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Bournemouth have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Bournemouth
Manchester CityManchester CityBournemouthManchester CityBournemouthBournemouthManchester CityBournemouthManchester CityBournemouthManchester CityManchester CityBournemouthBournemouthManchester CityOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
J. Gillett
Based on 18 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Bournemouth
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Hull CityFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Manchester City vs Bournemouth?+
Our AI model favors Manchester City to win, with a 64% probability (Draw 20%, Bournemouth 16%).
Where is Manchester City vs Bournemouth played?+
The match is played at Etihad Stadium, Manchester (capacity 55,097).
What time does Manchester City vs Bournemouth kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 1:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).