Mansfield Town vs Doncaster

League One· Regular Season - 1
WLLLGoals 15-1811th in league
WWDLGoals 10-1420th in league
Home1W 0D 0L(2-1)
Away0W 0D 1L(1-2)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 26'R. Oates (Lucas Akins)
  2. 46'Isaac Hutchinson (Brandon Hanlan)
  3. 49'J. Senior (Robbie Gotts)
  4. 56'Sean Grehan
  5. 64'J. Russell (Regan Hendry)
  6. 64'S. McLaughlin (Owen Dodgson)
  7. 65'Robbie Gotts (Harry Clifton)
  8. 74'L. Reed (Regan Hendry)
  9. 79'Sean Grehan (H. Adelakun)
  10. 82'Frazer Blake-Tracy
  11. 86'L. Thompson
  12. 90+1'L. Reed (E. Hewitt)
  13. 90'George Broadbent (J. Thomas)
  14. 90'M. Smith (Nathan Moriah-Welsh)
  15. 90'R. Oates (G. Maris)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Mansfield TownDoncaster
1.5
Goals/game
1.0
1.8
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Mansfield Town win
44.54%
Draw
27.05%
Doncaster win
28.41%
57.7%BTTS
54.2%Over 2.5
24.7%Mansfield Town clean sheet
23.5%Doncaster clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The analysis suggests a competitive match where Mansfield Town may leverage their recent home form and head-to-head success against Doncaster. With a scoring average of 1.5 goals per game in their last 10 matches, Mansfield is slightly favored to edge this encounter, potentially finishing 2-1 based on current dynamics.

  • Mansfield Town has won 3 of the last 5 matches including a recent high-scoring game.
  • Historically, Mansfield Town has performed well against Doncaster in their last matchups, winning 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Doncaster has struggled defensively lately, averaging 1.1 goals conceded per game in their last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Mansfield Town

  • Historical edgeMansfield Town

    Mansfield Town have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    4/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionMansfield Town

    Mansfield Town sit 9 places above Doncaster in the table.

    #11 vs #20
  • Poor recent formMansfield Town

    Mansfield Town have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Sharper attackMansfield Town

    Mansfield Town are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Mansfield Town at 44.54% — final result was Mansfield Town win, Mansfield Town 2-1 Doncaster.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Mansfield Town2.13market 46.9% · model 44.54%
Doncaster3.24market 30.9% · model 28.41%
Draw3.39market 29.5% · model 27.05%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Mansfield Town have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Doncaster have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Mansfield Town wins
2Draws
2Doncaster wins
16-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Mansfield Town2.13best 2.21
Draw3.39best 3.55
Doncaster3.24best 3.40

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.86best 1.90
Under 2.51.90best 1.97

Both teams to score

Yes1.69best 1.73
No2.05best 2.10

Double chance

Mansfield Town/Draw1.31best 1.36
Mansfield Town/Doncaster1.28best 1.30
Draw/Doncaster1.66best 1.72

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.00best 3.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.36best 1.36
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.00best 4.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22best 1.22

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Mansfield Town2.13 0.01
Draw3.39 0.11
Doncaster3.24 0.01
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Mansfield Town win+0.8pp
AI
44.54%
Market
43.7%
Draw-0.4pp
AI
27.05%
Market
27.5%
Doncaster win-0.4pp
AI
28.41%
Market
28.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
11
Mansfield Town
210103LW
20
Doncaster
2011-11DL

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game1
1.8Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

D. Whitestone

3.15Yellow cards / game
0.07Red cards / game
0.07Penalties scored / game

Based on 27 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Mansfield Town

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Doncaster

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
100%

More League One predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Mansfield Town vs Doncaster?+

Our AI model favors Mansfield Town to win, with a 44.54% probability (Draw 27.05%, Doncaster 28.41%).

What time does Mansfield Town vs Doncaster kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).