Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | X | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miami Marlins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
 Boston Red Sox | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 2 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-5
Data suggests the Boston Red Sox are in better offensive form, averaging 5.5 runs scored in their last 10 matches compared to the Miami Marlins' 4 runs. Historically, the Red Sox have had the upper hand in their recent head-to-head matchups, winning 4 of the last 5 against the Marlins. Given these trends, the numbers favor the Red Sox to secure a victory.
- Boston Red Sox averaging 5.5 runs scored in last 10 matches
- Miami Marlins allowed 3.2 runs conceded on average in their last 10 matches
- Boston Red Sox won 4 out of last 5 meetings against Miami Marlins
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Boston Red Sox
- Historical edgeBoston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Poor recent formMiami Marlins
Miami Marlins have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Good recent formBoston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 51% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Boston Red Sox at 51.46% — final result was Boston Red Sox win, Miami Marlins 3-7 Boston Red Sox.
Predicted score was 4-5.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (65/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Miami Marlins have averaged 3.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Boston Red Sox have averaged 5.1 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Miami Marlins are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Boston Red Sox.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Miami Marlins | Boston Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3.52▼ | 1.27 |
| -1 | 3.04▼ | 1.36 |
| +1 | 1.95 | 1.84 |
| +1.5 | 1.73▼ | 2.14▲ |
| +2 | 1.53▼ | 2.47▲ |
| +2.5 | 1.43 | 2.75▲ |
| +3 | 1.29▼ | 3.38▲ |
| +3.5 | 1.25▼ | 3.75▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.42▲ | 2.80▼ |
| 6 | 1.49▲ | 2.54▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.63▲ | 2.24▼ |
| 7 | 1.80▲ | 2.02▼ |
| 7.5 | 2.01▲ | 1.80▼ |
| 8 | 2.21▲ | 1.65▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.39▲ | 1.55▼ |
| 9 | 2.87▲ | 1.39▼ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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Pittsburgh PiratesFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox?+
Our AI model favors Boston Red Sox to win, with a 51.46% probability (Miami Marlins 48.54%).
What time does Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox start?+
First pitch is at Aug 25, 2026, 10:40 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox?+
Miami Marlins: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0. Boston Red Sox: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0. Final: 3-7.